2024 United States presidential election in Massachusetts
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Elections in Massachusetts |
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Massachusetts portal |
The 2024 United States presidential election in Massachusetts is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Massachusetts voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Massachusetts has 11 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat.[1]
Incumbent Democratic president Joe Biden is running for reelection to a second term.[2]
Background[edit]
Since 2021, speculation had already begun brewing if President Joe Biden would seek a second term. Biden responded to this by announcing his intention to run in 2024.[3] However, during a CBS 60 Minutes interview, Biden said that he was "not committed" to run.[4] Massachusetts had been a Democratic leaning state since 1928, and a Democratic stronghold since 1960, and is still considered a deeply blue state today.[a] Democrats have consistently defeated Republicans by large margins in Massachusetts since 1996. In 2020, Biden won the largest percent of the popular vote in the state since Lyndon B. Johnson in 1964.
Primary elections[edit]
Democratic primary[edit]
The Massachusetts Democratic primary was held on Super Tuesday, March 5, 2024.
Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Actual delegate count | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Pledged | Unpledged | Total | |||
Joe Biden (incumbent) | 533,096 | 80.5% | 91 | 91 | |
No Preference | 60,236 | 9.1% | 1 | 1 | |
Dean Phillips | 29,728 | 4.5% | |||
Marianne Williamson | 20,402 | 3.1% | |||
Other candidates | 10,135 | 1.5% | |||
Cenk Uygur (write-in) | 82 | <0.1% | |||
Blank ballots | 8,930 | 1.3% | |||
Total: | 662,609 | 100% | 92 | 92 | |
Source: [5] |
Republican primary[edit]
The Massachusetts Republican primary was held on Super Tuesday, March 5, 2024.
Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Actual delegate count | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bound | Unbound | Total | |||
Donald Trump | 340,312 | 60.0% | 40 | ||
Nikki Haley | 209,113 | 36.9% | |||
No Preference | 5,611 | 1.0% | |||
Chris Christie (withdrawn) | 5,125 | 0.9% | |||
Ron DeSantis (withdrawn) | 3,986 | 0.7% | |||
Vivek Ramaswamy (withdrawn) | 1,714 | 0.3% | |||
Ryan Binkley (withdrawn) | 611 | 0.1% | |||
Asa Hutchinson (withdrawn) | 635 | 0.1% | |||
Total: | 567,107 | 100.0% | 40 | 2,984 | 40 |
Source: [6] |
Libertarian primary[edit]
The Massachusetts Libertarian primary was held on March 5, 2024.
Candidate | Votes | Percentage |
---|---|---|
No Preference | 3,982 | 36.45% |
Chase Oliver | 1,453 | 13.30% |
Jacob Hornberger | 1,089 | 9.97% |
Michael Rectenwald | 546 | 5.00% |
Lars Mapstead | 399 | 3.65% |
Mike ter Maat | 314 | 2.87% |
All Others | 2,161 | 19.78% |
Blank ballots | 980 | 8.97% |
Total: | 10,924 | 100.00% |
Source:[7] |
General election[edit]
Predictions[edit]
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[8] | Solid D | December 19, 2023 |
Inside Elections[9] | Solid D | April 26, 2023 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] | Solid D | June 29, 2023 |
Decision Desk HQ/The Hill[11] | Solid D | December 14, 2023 |
CNalysis[12] | Solid D | December 30, 2023 |
CNN[13] | Solid D | January 14, 2024 |
Polling[edit]
- Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Suffolk University[A] | April 16–20, 2024 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 52% | 22% | 8% | 18% |
Suffolk University | February 2–5, 2024 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 45% | 26% | 9% | 21% |
YouGov[B] | October 13–20, 2023 | 700 (V) | ± 5.1% | 43% | 21% | 17% | 19% |
- Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
University of Massachusetts Lowell | October 18–25, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 58% | 32% | 10% |
Emerson College | September 7–8, 2022 | 708 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 54% | 34% | 12% |
University of Massachusetts Lowell | June 7–15, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 60% | 31% | 9% |
See also[edit]
- United States presidential elections in Massachusetts
- 2024 United States presidential election
- 2024 Democratic Party presidential primaries
- 2024 Republican Party presidential primaries
- 2024 United States elections
Notes[edit]
- Partisan clients
- ^ Poll sponsored by The Boston Globe
- ^ Poll sponsored by the University of Massachusetts Amherst Department of Political Science & WCVB
References[edit]
- ^ Wang, Hansi; Jin, Connie; Levitt, Zach (April 26, 2021). "Here's How The 1st 2020 Census Results Changed Electoral College, House Seats". NPR. Archived from the original on August 19, 2021. Retrieved August 20, 2021.
- ^ Kinery, Emma (April 25, 2023). "Biden launches 2024 reelection campaign, promising to fulfill economic policy vision". CNBC.
- ^ Chasmar, Jessica (June 13, 2022). "Biden 'running for re-election' in 2024, White House says". Foxnews.com. Retrieved June 25, 2022.
- ^ "President Biden says he hasn't decided on 2024 reelection run". CBS News. September 18, 2022. Retrieved November 18, 2022.
- ^ "2024 President Democratic Primary". State of Massachusetts. Retrieved March 28, 2024.
- ^ "Massachusetts Republican Primary Election Results". The New York Times. Retrieved March 5, 2024.
- ^ "2024 President Libertarian Primary". Secretary of the Commonwealth of Massachusetts. Retrieved March 12, 2024.
- ^ "2024 CPR Electoral College Ratings". cookpolitical.com. The Cook Political Report. December 19, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
- ^ "Presidential Ratings". insideelections.com. Inside Elections. April 26, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
- ^ "2024 Electoral College ratings". centerforpolitics.org. University of Virginia Center for Politics. June 29, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
- ^ "2024 presidential predictions". elections2024.thehill.com/. The Hill. December 14, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
- ^ "2024 Presidential Forecast". projects.cnalysis.com/. CNalysis. December 30, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
- ^ "Electoral College map 2024: Road to 270". CNN. Retrieved January 14, 2024.