2024 United States presidential election in West Virginia
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Elections in West Virginia |
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The 2024 United States presidential election in West Virginia is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. West Virginia voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of West Virginia has four electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state lost one congressional seat.[1]
West Virginia was Trump's strongest state in 2016 and second-strongest state in 2020. Trump is expected to easily win the state again in 2024.
Incumbent Democratic president Joe Biden is running for reelection to a second term.[2]
Primary elections[edit]
Democratic primary[edit]
The West Virginia Democratic presidential primary was held on May 14, 2024, alongside the Maryland and Nebraska primaries. 25 delegates (20 pledged and 5 unpledged) to the Democratic National Convention were allocated to presidential candidates.[3]
Four candidates have been certified to appear on the primary ballot:[4]
- Joe Biden
- Stephen Lyons
- Armando Perez-Serrato
- Dean Phillips
Results[edit]
Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Actual delegate count | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Pledged | Unpledged | Total | |||
Joe Biden (incumbent) | 68,098 | 70.5% | 20 | ||
Jason Palmer | 11,064 | 11.5% | |||
Stephen Lyons (withdrawn) | 7,368 | 7.6% | |||
Dean Phillips (withdrawn) | 7,214 | 7.5% | |||
Armando Perez-Serrato | 2,783 | 2.9% | |||
Total: | 96,527 | 100.0% | 20 | 5 | 25 |
Source: [5] |
Republican primary[edit]
The West Virginia Republican presidential primary was held on May 14, 2024, alongside the Maryland and Nebraska primaries. 31 delegates to the 2024 Republican National Convention were allocated on a winner-take-all basis.[6]
Five candidates have been certified to appear on the primary ballot:[4]
- Ryan Binkley
- Nikki Haley
- David Stuckenberg
- Rachel Swift
- Donald Trump
Results[edit]
Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Actual delegate count | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bound | Unbound | Total | |||
Donald Trump | 198,436 | 88.4% | 32 | ||
Nikki Haley (withdrawn) | 21,123 | 9.4% | |||
Rachel Swift | 2,311 | 1.0% | |||
Ryan Binkley (withdrawn) | 1,476 | 0.7% | |||
David Stuckenberg | 1,162 | 0.5% | |||
Total: | 224,508 | 100.0% | 32 | 32 | |
Source: [7] |
Mountain primary[edit]
The Mountain primary (the state's Green Party affiliate) is scheduled to be held on May 14, 2024.
Only one candidate was certified to appear on the primary ballot,[4] who will receive all 4 of the state's pledged delegates:[8]
General election[edit]
Predictions[edit]
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
Cook Political Report[9] | Solid R | December 19, 2023 |
Inside Elections[10] | Solid R | April 26, 2023 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[11] | Solid R | June 29, 2023 |
Decision Desk HQ/The Hill[12] | Solid R | December 14, 2023 |
CNalysis[13] | Solid R | December 30, 2023 |
CNN[14] | Solid R | January 14, 2024 |
Polling[edit]
- Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Kaplan Strategies | June 4, 2024 | 464 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 55% | 28% | 17%[a] |
Emerson College | October 1–4, 2023 | 539 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 59% | 23% | 18% |
See also[edit]
- United States presidential elections in West Virginia
- 2024 United States presidential election
- 2024 Democratic Party presidential primaries
- 2024 Republican Party presidential primaries
- 2024 United States elections
Notes[edit]
- ^ Jill Stein (Mountain Party) with 2%
References[edit]
- ^ Wang, Hansi; Jin, Connie; Levitt, Zach (April 26, 2021). "Here's How The 1st 2020 Census Results Changed Electoral College, House Seats". NPR. Archived from the original on August 19, 2021. Retrieved February 7, 2023.
- ^ Kinery, Emma (April 25, 2023). "Biden launches 2024 reelection campaign, promising to fulfill economic policy vision". CNBC.
- ^ "West Virginia Democratic Delegation 2024". www.thegreenpapers.com. Retrieved February 4, 2024.
- ^ a b c "Who is running for election in West Virginia?". ballotpedia.org. February 4, 2024. Retrieved February 4, 2024.
- ^ "West Virginia Presidential Primary Election Results 2024". NBC News. Retrieved May 14, 2024.
- ^ "West Virginia Republican Presidential Nominating Process". thegreenpapers.com. October 13, 2023. Retrieved November 18, 2023.
- ^ "West Virginia Presidential Primary Election Results 2024". NBC News. Retrieved May 14, 2024.
- ^ "Apportionment of GPUS National Committee 2023 and GPUS Presidential Nominating Convention 2024". GPUS National Committee. Retrieved February 3, 2024.
- ^ "2024 CPR Electoral College Ratings". cookpolitical.com. Cook Political Report. December 19, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
- ^ "Presidential Ratings". insideelections.com. Inside Elections. April 26, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
- ^ "2024 Electoral College ratings". centerforpolitics.org. University of Virginia Center for Politics. June 29, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
- ^ "2024 presidential predictions". elections2024.thehill.com/. The Hill. December 14, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
- ^ "2024 Presidential Forecast". projects.cnalysis.com/. CNalysis. December 30, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
- ^ "Electoral College map 2024: Road to 270". CNN. Retrieved January 14, 2024.