Opinion polling for the 2024 Romanian presidential election

In preparation for the next presidential elections in Romania, which will take place at the end of 2024 at the latest, various polling companies and organizations in Romania have already conducted a series of opinion polls to measure and track voting intention among the electorate in assembly. The results of all these opinion polls are shown in the annual tables below in this Wikipedia article.

First round graphic representation[edit]

First round[edit]

2024 Opinion polls[edit]

Poll	Date	Sample	Geoană Ind.	Ciolacu PSD	Simion AUR	Ciucă PNL	Șoșoacă S.O.S.	Drulă USR	Hunor UDMR	Cioloș REPER	Kövesi Ind.	Others
												Others
AtlasIntel	5-9 April 2024	1,764	33.6	—	11.8	—	10.7	10.9	1.4	6.9	—	-
			27	9.6	12.6	5	10.6	11.3	0.7	6.1	—	-
			27.3	9.2	12.4	—	9.8	13.6	3.0	6.4	—	-
INSCOP	14 Feb -5 Mar 2024	2,000	26.0	24.0	13.0	12.0	8.0	—	3.0	—	9.0	-
INSCOP Research	16-24 jan 2024	1,100	26.5	18.9	13.3	11.4	14.0	5.9	3.6	5.1	-	1.3
Snap Market Research	3–8 Jan 2024	998	12	29	13	8	14	—^[a]	5	—	10^[b]	9^[c]

Opinion polls with Geoană (independent) (2023)[edit]

Poll	Date	Sample	Geoană Ind.	Ciolacu PSD	Simion AUR	Ciucă PNL	Șoșoacă S.O.S.	Drulă USR	Lasconi USR	Orban FD	Hunor UDMR	Cioloș REPER	Kövesi Ind.	Hellvig Ind.	Others
Poll	Date	Sample													Others
INSCOP	20–27 Nov 2023	1,100	26.2	20.8	14.0	12.1	14.4	4.2	—	—	2.4	3.9	—	—	1.9
INSCOP	23 Oct–2 Nov 2023	1,100	27.7	21.8^[d]	18.9	—	10.5	—	12.1	—	3.1	4.3	—	—	—
AtlasIntel	20–29 Oct 2023	2,000	20.4	10.3	7.7	0.7	13.3	6.9	2.3	3.4	3.0	2.4	10.9	6.4	13.4
INSCOP	15–22 Sep 2023	1,550	25.3	19.5	18.7	11.2	10.1	5.6	—	—	2.7	4.1	—	—	3.4
AtlasIntel	27–30 Jan 2023	2,000	22.6	—	10.6	4.9	6.1	8.0	—	3.8	4.4	2.0	16.4	0.4	20.9^[e]
AtlasIntel	27–30 Jan 2023	2,000	14.6	6.2	9.7	4.6	5.5	4.5	—	5.1	2.9	5.1	16.9	0.5	24.2^[f]
Election	Nov 2019	—	—	22.26	—	37.82	—	15.02		—	3.87	—	—	—	—

Opinion polls without Geoană (2023)[edit]

Poll	Date	Sample	Ciucă PNL	Ciolacu PSD	Drulă USR	Hunor UDMR	Kövesi Ind.	Simion AUR	Șoșoacă S.O.S.	Cioloș REPER	Orban FD	Hellvig Ind.	Others
Poll	Date	Sample											Others
INSCOP	20–27 Nov 2023	1,100	14.1	27.4	7.1	2.7	—	18.0	19.1	6.7	—	—	4.9
AtlasIntel	27–30 Jan 2023	2,000	8.0	13.3	7.4	2.1	15.7	10.4	5.9	5.3	5.0	2.9	24.1^[g]
Election	Nov 2019	—	37.82	22.26	15.02	3.87	—	—	—	—	—	—	—

Opinion polls with potential candidates (before 2023)[edit]

Poll	Date	Sample	Cîțu ^PNL	Orban ^PNL	Ciolacu ^PSD	Barna ^{USR PLUS}	Cioloș ^{USR PLUS}	Drulă ^{USR PLUS}	Diaconescu ^PMP	Hunor ^UDMR	Simion ^AUR	Șoșoacă ^NR/S.O.S.	Geoană ^Ind.	Dragnea PAINE/ApP	Others
Poll	Date	Sample													Others
Gazeta Civică^[1]	15–31 Jul 2021	1,112	11.0	—	4.0	—	—	22.0	—	5.0	—	—	33.0	—	6.0
INSOMAR^[2]	1–8 May 2021	1,030	—	12.03	16.1	22.00	13.4	—	8.3	—	14.2	4.0	—	6.6	3.37
INSOMAR^[3]	8–11 Feb 2021	1,030	3.0	11.4	23.0	21.04	12.6	—	—	3.0	17.0	—	—	0.0	8.96
Election	Nov 2019		37.82		22.26	15.02			5.72	3.87	0.34		—	—	14.97

Second round[edit]

Geoană vs Ciolacu[edit]

Poll	Date	Sample	Geoană Ind.	Ciolacu PSD
Poll	Date	Sample
INSCOP	14 Feb -5 Mar 2024	2,000	61.0	39.0
AtlasIntel	20–29 Oct 2023	2,000	64.9	35.1

Geoană vs Simion[edit]

Poll	Date	Sample	Geoană Ind.	Simion AUR
Poll	Date	Sample
INSCOP	14 Feb -5 Mar 2024	2,000	75.0	25.0
AtlasIntel	20–29 Oct 2023	2,000	71.8	28.2
INSCOP	15–22 Sep 2023	1,550	63.5	36.5
AtlasIntel	27–30 Jan 2023	2,000	69.5	30.5

Geoană vs Ciucă[edit]

Poll	Date	Sample	Geoană Ind.	Ciucă PNL
Poll	Date	Sample
AtlasIntel	27–30 Jan 2023	2,000	76.2	23.8

Geoană vs Kövesi[edit]

Poll	Date	Sample	Geoană Ind.	Kövesi Ind.
Poll	Date	Sample
INSCOP	14 Feb -5 Mar 2024	2,000	66.0	34.0
AtlasIntel	20–29 Oct 2023	2,000	61.2	38.8
AtlasIntel	27–30 Jan 2023	2,000	53.1	46.9

Ciolacu vs Simion[edit]

Poll	Date	Sample	Ciolacu PSD	Simion AUR
Poll	Date	Sample
AtlasIntel	20–29 Oct 2023	2,000	69.5	30.5
INSCOP	15–22 Sep 2023	1,550	58.8	41.2
AtlasIntel	27–30 Jan 2023	2,000	54.1	45.9

Ciolacu vs Drulă[edit]

Poll	Date	Sample	Ciolacu PSD	Drulă USR
Poll	Date	Sample
AtlasIntel	20–29 Oct 2023	2,000	50.4	49.6

Ciolacu vs Ciucă[edit]

Poll	Date	Sample	Ciolacu PSD	Ciucă PNL
Poll	Date	Sample
INSCOP	14 Feb -5 Mar 2024	2,000	63.0	37.0
AtlasIntel	27–30 Jan 2023	2,000	51.7	48.3

Ciolacu vs Kövesi[edit]

Poll	Date	Sample	Kövesi Ind.	Ciolacu PSD
Poll	Date	Sample
AtlasIntel	20–29 Oct 2023	2,000	58.6	41.4
AtlasIntel	27–30 Jan 2023	2,000	57.8	42.2

The first round among Romanian citizens from the Republic of Moldova[edit]

Poll	Date	Sample	Geoană Ind.	Ciolacu PSD	Simion AUR	Ciucă PNL	Șoșoacă S.O.S.	Drulă USR	Hunor UDMR	Cioloș REPER	Piedone PUSL	Others/ n/a
												Others/ n/a
iDATA	22 – 26 Apr	1,006	15.0	3.1	2.4	3.4	4.8	0.7	1.0	5.5	6.1	58.0^[4]
iDATA	22 – 26 Apr	1,006	34.6	7.1	5.5	7.8	11.1	1.6^[5]	2.3	12.7	14.1	—
CBS-Research	6 – 13 Apr	1,008	14.1	4.7	1.0	2.4	4.1	0.9	—	—	—	72.8^[6]
CBS-Research	6 – 13 Apr	1,008	51.9	17.3	3.7	15.0	14.0	3.3	—	—	—	—

Notes[edit]

^ In this scenario, USR, PMP, FD and REPER are supporting Kövesi as an independent candidate
^ In this scenario, USR, PMP, FD and REPER are supporting Kövesi as an independent candidate
^ Dan Chitic (BSR): 7%
^ With PNL endorsement
^ Don't know 11.1, invalid/blank vote 9.8
^ Don't know 13.1, invalid/blank vote 11.1
^ Don't know 13.0, invalid/blank vote 11.1

References[edit]

^ "Vă prezentăm cifrele ultimului sondaj pentru Palatul Cotroceni" (in Romanian). Gazeta Civică | Cotidian Național de opinie și atitudine civică!. Archived from the original on 2021-08-04. Retrieved 2021-08-05.
^ "Opțiuni politice de mai | INSOMAR.ORG". insomar.org (in Romanian). Retrieved 2021-05-14.
^ "SONDAJ INSOMAR. Răsturnare de situație – pe cine vor românii la Cotroceni. Calculele care dau fiori clasei politice". Realitatea de Tulcea. 2021-02-12. ^{[permanent dead link]}
^ Niciunul dintre cei menționați – 15% Nu știu/Nu răspund – 41,6% Dan Barna – 1,4%
^ Dan Barna 3.2%
^ 44% dintre respondenți au arătat că nu au decis încă pentru cine ar vota la viitoarele alegeri prezidențiale din România, în timp ce 24,8% nu ar participa la vot. 4.0% NR

[1] In this scenario, USR, PMP, FD and REPER are supporting Kövesi as an independent candidate

[2] In this scenario, USR, PMP, FD and REPER are supporting Kövesi as an independent candidate

[3] Dan Chitic (BSR): 7%

[4] With PNL endorsement

[[b]-5] Don't know 11.1, invalid/blank vote 9.8

[6] Don't know 13.1, invalid/blank vote 11.1

[7] Don't know 13.0, invalid/blank vote 11.1

[8] "Vă prezentăm cifrele ultimului sondaj pentru Palatul Cotroceni" (in Romanian). Gazeta Civică | Cotidian Național de opinie și atitudine civică!. Archived from the original on 2021-08-04. Retrieved 2021-08-05.

[9] "Opțiuni politice de mai | INSOMAR.ORG". insomar.org (in Romanian). Retrieved 2021-05-14.

[10] "SONDAJ INSOMAR. Răsturnare de situație – pe cine vor românii la Cotroceni. Calculele care dau fiori clasei politice". Realitatea de Tulcea. 2021-02-12. ^{[permanent dead link]}

[11] Niciunul dintre cei menționați – 15% Nu știu/Nu răspund – 41,6% Dan Barna – 1,4%

[12] Dan Barna 3.2%

[13] 44% dintre respondenți au arătat că nu au decis încă pentru cine ar vota la viitoarele alegeri prezidențiale din România, în timp ce 24,8% nu ar participa la vot. 4.0% NR

[a]

[b]

[c]

[d]

[e]

[f]

[g]

[1]

[2]

[3]

[4]

[5]

[6]

v t e Elections and referendums in Romania
Parliamentary elections	1864 1866 (Apr) 1866 (Nov) 1867 1868 1869 1870 1871 1874 1875 1876 1877 1878 1879 1883 1884 1888 (Jan) 1888 (Oct) 1891 1892 1895 1899 1901 1905 1907 1911 1912 1914 1918 1919 1920 1922 1926 1927 1928 1931 1932 1933 1937 1939 1946 1948 1952 1957 1961 1965 1969 1975 1980 1985 1990 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020 2024
Presidential elections	1990 1992 1996 2000 2004 2009 2014 2019 2024
Local elections	1864 1866 1869 1870 1871 1874 1876 1879 1883 1884 1888 1890 1891 1895 1899 1901 1905 1907 1911 1912 1914 1926 1930 1936 1937 1938 1950 1953 1956 1958 1961 1963 1965 1967 1969 1975 1977 1980 1982 1985 1987 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020 2024
European elections	2007 2009 2014 2019 2024
Other elections	Bessarabia: 1917 Moldavia: 1832 1837 1842 1847 1857 (Jul) 1857 (Sep) 1858 1860 Transylvania: 1918 Wallachia: 1831 1836 1841 1842 1846 1857 1859 1860 1861
Referendums	1864 1866 1938 1941 (Mar) 1941 (Nov) 1986 1991 2003 2007 (May) 2007 (Nov) 2009 2012 2018 2019