2023 Nigerian presidential election in Ekiti State

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2023 Nigerian presidential election in Ekiti State
← 2019 25 February 2023 2027 →
Registered987,647
Turnout31.84%
 
Nominee Bola Tinubu Atiku Abubakar Peter Obi
Party APC PDP LP
Home state Lagos Adamawa Anambra
Running mate Kashim Shettima Ifeanyi Okowa Yusuf Datti Baba-Ahmed
Popular vote 201,486 89,554 11,397
Percentage 65.38% 29.06% 3.70%
Results
Tinubu:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%
President before election

Muhammadu Buhari
APC

Elected President

TBD

The 2023 Nigerian presidential election in Ekiti State was held on 25 February 2023 as part of the nationwide 2023 Nigerian presidential election to elect the president and vice president of Nigeria.[1] Other federal elections, including elections to the House of Representatives and the Senate, were also held on the same date while state elections were held two weeks afterward on 11 March.

Bola Tinubu—the nominee of the All Progressives Congress—ultimately won the state by over 110,000 votes, a 36% margin, over runner-up Atiku Abubakar of the Peoples Democratic Party.[2] The other two major contenders, Peter Obi (Labour Party) and Rabiu Kwankwaso (New Nigeria Peoples Party), trailed with just 3.7% and 0.09%, respectively.[2]

Background[edit]

Ekiti State is a small, Yoruba-majority southwestern state with vast natural areas but facing an underdeveloped yet vital agricultural sector, high unemployment, and rising debt. The state also has to contend with insecurity with abated, but still present, conflict between herders and farmers in the state's rural areas.[3]

The state's 2019 elections categorized by a massive swing to the APC as its presidential nominee Muhammadu Buhari won the state back after the PDP had won it in 2015. Legislatively the APC also gained ground, winning all two Senate seats, all six House of Representatives seats, and control of the House of Assembly. Two years later, Abiodun Oyebanji retained the gubernatorial office for the APC, winning with 53% of the vote.[4]

Polling[edit]

Polling organisation/client Fieldwork
date 		Sample
size 		Others Undecided Undisclosed Not voting
Tinubu
APC 		Obi
LP 		Kwankwaso
NNPP 		Abubakar
PDP
BantuPage January 2023 N/A 31% 14% 0% 5% – 36% 8% 6%
Nextier
(Ekiti crosstabs of national poll) 		27 January 2023 N/A 22.4% 36.2% 6.9% 34.5% – – – –
SBM Intelligence for EiE
(Ekiti crosstabs of national poll) 		22 January-6 February 2023 N/A 56% 9% 3% 15% 1% 15% – –

Projections[edit]

Source Projection As of
Africa Elects[a][5] Safe Tinubu 24 February 2023
Dataphyte[b][6]
Tinubu: 38.33% 11 February 2023
Obi: 33.52%
Abubakar: 15.47%
Others: 12.62%
Enough is Enough-
SBM Intelligence[c][7] 		Tinubu 17 February 2023
SBM Intelligence[d][8] Tinubu 15 December 2022
ThisDay[e][9]
Tinubu: 45% 27 December 2022
Obi: 10%
Kwankwaso: –
Abubakar: 20%
Others/Undecided: 20%
The Nation[f][10][11] Tinubu 12-19 February 2023

General election[edit]

Results[edit]

Candidates' vote share

  Bola Tinubu (APC) (65.38%)
  Atiku Abubakar (PDP) (29.06%)
  Peter Obi (LP) (3.70%)
  Rabiu Kwankwaso (NNPP) (0.09%)
  Other candidates (1.77%)
2023 Nigerian presidential election in Ekiti State[2][12]
Party Candidate Votes %
APC Bola Tinubu 201,486 65.38%
PDP Atiku Abubakar 89,554 29.06%
LP Peter Obi 11,397 3.70%
SDP Adewole Adebayo 2,011 0.65%
ADC Dumebi Kachikwu 1,337 0.43%
ADP Yabagi Sani 737 0.24%
ZLP Dan Nwanyanwu 460 0.15%
APGA Peter Umeadi 268 0.09%
New Nigeria Peoples Party Rabiu Kwankwaso 264 0.09%
NRM Felix Johnson Osakwe 131 0.04%
AAC Omoyele Sowore 108 0.04%
APP Osita Nnadi 91 0.03%
YPP Malik Ado-Ibrahim 81 0.03%
A Christopher Imumolen 69 0.02%
PRP Kola Abiola 48 0.02%
APM Princess Chichi Ojei 46 0.01%
BP Sunday Adenuga 46 0.01%
AA Hamza al-Mustapha 29 0.01%
Total votes 308,171 100.00%
Invalid or blank votes 6,301 N/A
Turnout 314,472 31.84%

By senatorial district[edit]

The results of the election by senatorial district.

Senatorial district Bola Tinubu
APC 		Atiku Abubakar
PDP 		Peter Obi
LP 		Rabiu Kwankwaso
NNPP 		Others Total valid votes
Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes %
Ekiti Central Senatorial District[g] 76,033 68.36% 26,254 23.61% 5,918 5.32% 128 0.12% 2,886 2.59% 111,219
Ekiti North Senatorial District[h] 58,499 61.07% 33,326 34.79% 2,547 2.66% 59 0.06% 1,355 1.41% 95,786
Ekiti South Senatorial District[i] 58,795 65.83% 26,939 30.16% 2,467 2.76% 61 0.07% 1,046 1.17% 89,308
Totals 201,486 65.38% 89,554 29.06% 11,397 3.70% 264 0.09% 5470 1.77% 308,171

By federal constituency[edit]

The results of the election by federal constituency.

Federal constituency Bola Tinubu
APC 		Atiku Abubakar
PDP 		Peter Obi
LP 		Rabiu Kwankwaso
NNPP 		Others Total valid votes
Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes %
Ado Ekiti/Irepodun-Ifelodun Federal Constituency[j] 43,016 67.75% 13,684 21.55% 5,029 7.92% 111 0.17% 1,650 2.60% 63,490
Ekiti South West/Ikere/Ise/Orun Federal Constituency[k] 34,408 66.24% 14,979 28.84% 1,847 3.56% 43 0.08% 668 1.29% 51,945
Emure/Gbonyin/Ekiti East Federal Constituency[l] 32,546 66.12% 14,995 30.46% 1,085 2.20% 32 0.07% 8,877 1.14% 49,221
Ido/Osi, Moba/Ilejemeje Federal Constituency[m] 28,562 61.98% 15,985 34.69% 1,125 2.44% 28 0.06% 382 0.83% 46,082
Ijero/Ekiti West/Efon Federal Constituency[n] 33,017 69.18% 12,570 26.34% 889 1.86% 17 0.04% 1,236 2.59% 47,729
Ikole/Oye Federal Constituency[o] 29,937 60.23% 17,341 34.89% 1,422 2.86% 31 0.06% 973 1.96% 49,704
Totals 201,486 65.38% 89,554 29.06% 11,397 3.70% 264 0.09% 5470 1.77% 308,171

By local government area[edit]

The results of the election by local government area.

Local government area Bola Tinubu
APC 		Atiku Abubakar
PDP 		Peter Obi
LP 		Rabiu Kwankwaso
NNPP 		Others Total valid votes Turnout (%)
Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes %
Ado Ekiti[note 1] 28,751 67.22% 8,168 19.1% 4,485 10.49% 87 0.20% 1,282 3.00% 42,773 24.49%
Efon 5,873 67.84% 2,521 29.12% 125 1.44% 3 0.04% 135 1.56% 8,657 30.00%
Ekiti East[note 2] 12,426 59.82% 7,782 37.46% 375 1.81% 7 0.03% 182 0.88% 20,772 34.37%
Ekiti South-West 11,334 66.50% 5,047 29.61% 440 2.58% 9 0.05% 215 1.26% 17,045 32.50%
Ekiti West 14,516 73.47% 4,318 21.85% 391 1.98% 8 0.04% 525 2.66% 19,758 34.13%
Emure 8,159 68.81% 3,035 25.59% 465 3.92% 14 0.12% 185 1.56% 11,858 32.44%
Gbonyin 11,961 72.09% 4,178 25.18% 245 1.48% 11 0.07% 196 1.18% 16,591 31.41%
Ido-Osi 11,917 58.32% 7,476 36.58% 782 3.83% 14 0.07% 246 1.20% 20,435 36.11%
Ijero Ekiti 12,628 65.38% 5,731 29.68% 373 1.93% 6 0.03% 576 2.98% 19,314 31.19%
Ikere-Ekiti 11,659 58.17% 7,198 35.91% 910 4.54% 24 0.12% 253 1.26% 20,044 31.28%
Ikole 15,465 57.36% 10,198 37.82% 779 2.89% 11 0.04% 509 1.89% 26,962 38.27%
Ilejemeje 4,599 62.05% 2,662 35.91% 97 1.31% 3 0.04% 51 0.69% 7,412 40.03%
Irepodun/Ifelodun 14,265 68.86% 5,516 26.63% 544 2.63% 24 0.12% 368 1.78% 20,717 30.10%
Ise/Orun 11,415 76.84% 2,734 18.40% 497 3.34% 10 0.07% 200 1.35% 14,856 32.47%
Moba 12,046 66.06% 5,847 32.06% 246 1.35% 11 0.06% 85 0.47% 18,235 34.53%
Oye 14,472 63.64% 7,143 31.41% 643 2.83% 20 0.09% 464 2.04% 22,742 35.49%
Totals 201,486 65.38% 89,554 29.06% 11,397 3.70% 264 0.09% 5470 1.77% 308,171 31.84%
  1. ^ Ado Ekiti: Results were voided in one polling unit due to "BVAS bypass."[13]
  2. ^ Ekiti East: Results were voided in two polling units due to overvoting.[13]

See also[edit]

Notes[edit]

  1. ^ AfricaElects projections predict the likelihood of a candidate winning a state by categorizing a state as "Safe" for exceedingly likely, "Likely" for somewhat likely, and "Lean" for least likely. If no clear determination could be made, states are categorized as "tossups".
  2. ^ Dataphyte projections predict candidates' projected votal shares in each state.
  3. ^ EiE-SBM projections predict which candidates will win states.
  4. ^ SBM projections predict which candidates will win states or, if no determination could be made, categorizes states as "Too close to call" (TCC).
  5. ^ ThisDay projections predict candidates' projected votal shares in each state.
  6. ^ The Nation projections predict which candidates will win states or, if no determination could be made, categorizes states as "Battlegrounds."
  7. ^ Comprising the local government areas of Ado Ekiti, Efon, Ekiti West, Ijero Ekiti, and Irepodun/Ifelodun.
  8. ^ Comprising the local government areas of Ido-Osi, Ikole, Ilejemeje, Moba, and Oye.
  9. ^ Comprising the local government areas of Ekiti East, Ekiti South-West, Emure, Gbonyin, Ikere-Ekiti, and Ise/Orun.
  10. ^ Comprising the local government areas of Ado Ekiti and Irepodun/Ifelodun.
  11. ^ Comprising the local government areas of Ekiti South-West, Ikere-Ekiti, and Ise/Orun.
  12. ^ Comprising the local government areas of Ekiti East, Emure, and Gbonyin.
  13. ^ Comprising the local government areas of Ido-Osi, Ilejemeje, and Moba.
  14. ^ Comprising the local government areas of Efon, Ekiti West, and Ijero Ekiti.
  15. ^ Comprising the local government areas of Ikole and Oye.

References[edit]

  1. ^ Jimoh, Abbas (26 February 2022). "INEC Sets New Dates For 2023 General Elections". Daily Trust. Retrieved 26 February 2022.
  2. ^ a b c Adegboyega, Ayodeji; Omoniyi, Oluwaferanmi (26 February 2023). "#NigeriaDecides2023: It's Official: INEC declares Tinubu winner of presidential election in Ekiti". Premium Times. Retrieved 26 February 2023.
  3. ^ Oluwole, Josiah (13 January 2022). "SPECIAL REPORT: Respite in Ekiti as govt, community efforts reduce farmers, herders clashes". Premium Times. Retrieved 18 March 2022.
  4. ^ "INEC declares APC's Biodun Oyebanji as winner of Ekiti governorship election". The Guardian. 19 June 2022. Retrieved 27 January 2023.
  5. ^ Elimian, Adrian (24 February 2023). "Nigerian Presidential Election: State Ratings". Africa Elects. Retrieved 25 February 2023.
  6. ^ "President Tinubu: Predilections and Predictions". Substack. Dataphyte. 11 February 2023. Retrieved 11 February 2023.
  7. ^ "The EiE-SBM 2023 Election forecast: It all hinges on insecurity and turnout". SBM Intelligence. 17 February 2023. Retrieved 19 February 2023.
  8. ^ "Projection: 2023 presidential elections". SBM Intelligence. 15 December 2022. Retrieved 27 December 2022.
  9. ^ "THISDAY 2023 Election Centre: Why Presidential Run off is Increasingly Likely". ThisDay. 27 December 2022. Retrieved 27 December 2022.
  10. ^ Oladesu, Emmanuel; Alli, Yusuf; O’neil, Shola; Onu, Nwanosike; Odiegwu, Mike; Adeyemi, Kolade; Ihyongo, Fanen; Adenuga, David; Emmanuel, Uja; Alabelewe, AbdulGafar; Shittu, Sola; Asishana, Justina; Duku, Joel; Oota, Linus; Okezie, Augustine; Alao, Onimisi; Onogu, Sanni; Jimoh, Adekunle; Odufowokan, 'Dare; Adedeji, Toba; Ibrahim, Rasaq; Oladele, Bisi; Otabor, Osagie; Okungbowa, Aiwerie; Nsa, Gil; Anioke, Ogo; Duruihuoma, Damian; Njoku, Chris; Nwankwo, Sunny. "Who wins 2023 presidential election?". The Nation. Retrieved 19 February 2023.
  11. ^ Oladesu, Emmanuel; Alli, Yusuf; O’neil, Shola; Onu, Nwanosike; Odiegwu, Mike; Adeyemi, Kolade; Ihyongo, Fanen; Adenuga, David; Emmanuel, Uja; Alabelewe, AbdulGafar; Shittu, Sola; Asishana, Justina; Duku, Joel; Oota, Linus; Okezie, Augustine; Alao, Onimisi; Onogu, Sanni; Jimoh, Adekunle; Odufowokan, 'Dare; Adedeji, Toba; Ibrahim, Rasaq; Oladele, Bisi; Otabor, Osagie; Okungbowa, Aiwerie; Nsa, Gil; Anioke, Ogo; Duruihuoma, Damian; Njoku, Chris; Nwankwo, Sunny (19 February 2023). "WHO WINS 2023 PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION? | The Nation Newspaper". The Nation Newspaper. Retrieved 19 February 2023.
  12. ^ "Ekiti Results". Premium Times. Retrieved 26 February 2023.
  13. ^ a b Folorunsho-Francis, Adebayo (26 February 2023). "#NigeriaElection2023: INEC cancels two Ekiti election results, Melaye demands explanation". The Punch. Retrieved 26 February 2023.
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