2024 North Macedonian parliamentary election

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

2024 North Macedonian parliamentary election
North Macedonia
← 2020 8 May 2024

All 123 seats in the Assembly
62 seats needed for a majority
Party Leader % Seats +/–
Your Macedonia Hristijan Mickoski 43.14 59 +15
For a European Future Dimitar Kovačevski 15.1 19 −27
European Front Ali Ahmeti 14.06 18
VLEN Coalition Bilal Kasami 10.98 13
Levica Dimitar Apasiev 6.8 6 +4
ZNAM Maksim Dimitrievski 5.25 5
This lists parties that won seats. See the complete results below.
Prime Minister before Prime Minister after
Talat Xhaferi
BDI
TBD

Parliamentary elections were held in North Macedonia on 8 May 2024. The second round of the 2024 presidential election were held on the same day.[1] Slow EU integration and corruption were the main issues of this election.[2]

Electoral system[edit]

North Macedonia's six constituencies

Of the 123 seats in the Assembly of the Republic, 120 are elected from six 20-seat constituencies in North Macedonia using closed list proportional representation, with seats allocated using the d'Hondt method. The remaining three seats are elected by Macedonians living abroad,[3] but are only filled if the number of votes exceeds that of the elected candidate with the fewest votes in North Macedonia in the previous election. If a list crosses this threshold, it wins one seat; to win two seats, a list needs to win twice the number of votes, and to win three seats the threshold is three times the number of votes. These seats were not filled in the 2016 elections due to insufficient turnout.[4]

For this election, more than 1,700 candidates were running for the Sobranie.[5]

Campaign[edit]

Among significant issues during the election was corruption. The opposition VMRO-DPMNE accused the ruling coalition of presiding over a "pandemic" of corruption in the country, while the Social Democratic Union of Macedonia, a member of the coalition, supports the confiscation of illegally acquired property from corrupt officials. The ruling government supported revising the constitution to include recognition of a Bulgarian minority in North Macedonia, a condition set by Bulgaria to allow the country's accession to the European Union. The VMRO-DPMNE has called the acceptance of such conditions a "capitulation" to Bulgaria. It has also expressed interest in forming a coalition government with the VLEN coalition comprising of ethnic Albanian parties[5] but has ruled out entering into one with the Democratic Union for Integration, which is part of the ruling coalition and which it had called "corrupt".[6]

Opinion polls[edit]

Moving average of the main political parties before the 2024 election.
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
For a European
Future
VLEN European
Front
Your Macedonia Levica ZNAM Others Lead
SDSM LDP/DOM Besa LD A ASh[a] BDI PDSh VMRO-DPMNE
2024 presidential election 24 Apr 2024 20.5 9.5 13.7 41.2 4.7 9.5 0.9 [b] 20.7
CRPC 20 Apr 2024 1250 25.6 14.5 9.5 38 7.2 5.0 0.2 11.2
МКД.мк 8–13 Apr 2024 1200 22.8 9.9 12.7 41.2 6.5 6.1 0.8 18.4
CRPC 8–13 Apr 2024 1210 26.8 12.7 11.3 37.5 6.4 5.3 10.7
МКД.мк 15–24 Mar 2024 1200 16.0 11.5 1.6 13.0 40.8 7.9 8.2 0.7 24.8
CRPC 4–7 Mar 2024 1085 24.6 13.6 11.6 39.4 5.5 5.3 14.8
IPIS 20 Feb 2024 1212 21.8 8.6 4.1 11.5 38.6 6.0 5.0 2.4 18.8
IPDV 5–9 Nov 2023 1050 23.0 4.4 3.3 1.6 8.2 9.7 35.6 5.9 8.2 12.6
IPIS 29 Oct 2023 1055 21.8 4.4 1.9 3.5 3.9 10.8 36.2 6.8 5.6 2.1 17.4
IPIS 23–26 May 2023 1,112 21.6 4.4 5 12.4 38.2 12.3 5.7 0.8 16.6
IRI 8 Apr4 May 2023 1,204 17 7 2 8 14 32 11 7[c] 15
NDI 13–14 Apr 2023 1,003 23.6 6.6 6.3 11.4 39.6 10.3 3.1 2 16
IPIS Mar 2023 1,114 27.1 8.5 4.9 27.1[d] 39.2 10.1 9.2 11.1
IDSCS 22 Feb9 Mar 2023 1,002 24 2 7 18 38 9 14
МКД.мк 6–16 Feb 2023 1,200 22.3 0.2 4.1 6.7 14.7 39.2 8.1 3.4 16.9
IRI 19 Dec 2022 1,200 16.3 7.0 7.8 13.3 33.3 12.3 8.8 17
МКД.мк 7–13 Nov 2022 1,200 20.3 0.9 7.3 3.5 3.9 13.6 0.7 40.9 8.9 1.1 20.6
IPIS 4–6 May 2022 1,111 30.1 2.8 1.9 7.1 13.4 39.4 5.4 9.3
IPIS 19–22 Oct 2021 1,102 28.9 2.8 2.6 8.0 11.0 37.7 6.6 8.8
2021 Skopje election 17 Oct 2021 24.04 4.20 1.00 5.17 11.91 35.89 9.19 4.17[e] 11.9
Kantar TNS Brima 27 Aug9 Sep 2021 1,201 30.8 7.4 9.5 11.4 1.7 27.6 7.4 3.2
Kantar TNS Brima 28 May16 Jun 2021 1,194 33.0 6.8 10.3 11.0 2.8 28.5 7.5 4.5
Kantar TNS Brima 4–6 Apr 2021 1,222 27.9 6.6 8.2 11.5 1.6 27.9 9.8 Tie
IPIS 1–4 Mar 2021 1,109 31.9 1.7 8.9 10.4 34.7 6.6 2.8
M-Prospect 16–24 Dec 2020 1,000 31.7 4.1 0.9 7.8 11.4 2.4 30.8 10.6 0.3[f] 0.9
2020 parliamentary election 15 Jul 2020 35.89 8.95 11.48 1.53 34.57 4.10 3.49 1.3

Hypothetical polls[edit]

Nikola Gruevski forms a new party[edit]

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
SDSM LDP/DOM Besa PDSh A ASh VMRO-DPMNE BDI Levica ZNAM Gruevski Others Lead
Stratum R&D 1–6 Oct 2023 1,112 27.5 7.3 4.7 17.6 10.8 9.1 3.1 16.0 3.8 9.9

Results[edit]

The result was a landslide victory for the national conservative VMRO-DPMNE and their coalition, winning 59 seats in the Sobranie. Their main rival, the incumbent, pro-European SDSM, ended up in distant second place, winning 19 seats. All other parties and coalitions that won seats include: the European Front coalition (18 seats), the VLEN coalition (13 seats), left-wing nationalist The Left political party (6 seats), as well as the left-wing populist ZNAM Movement (5 seats).[7]

97.88% reporting
PartyVotes%Seats
Your Macedonia[g]425,17644.4658
For a European Future[h]150,30115.7219
European Front[i]136,47714.2718
VLEN Coalition[j]106,29511.1213
The Left66,8436.996
For Our Macedonia53,1875.566
Brave for Macedonia (GROM)4,6320.480
New Alternative [mk]3,4080.360
Abaja2,4360.250
Your Party1,7410.180
Unique Macedonia [mk]1,6450.170
Homeland Macedonia [mk]1,0860.110
Macedonian Era Third – Sovereignists9470.100
Democrats [mk]8800.090
Right5150.050
MORO–Labour Party [mk]4400.050
European Civic Movement2410.030
Total956,250100.00120
Valid votes956,25097.28
Invalid/blank votes26,7712.72
Total votes983,021100.00
Registered voters/turnout1,815,35054.15
Source: SEC

Notes[edit]

  1. ^ In early 2024 two factions emerged within ASh. A faction led by incumbent leader Arben Taravari intended to join VLEN and he later became the coalition's presidential candidate, while a faction led by former leader Ziadin Sela eventually joined the European Front coalition. Both wings of the party held conferences and elected their respective leader as party chairman. The Macedonian electoral commission lists ASh as a member of VLEN, while a court decision ruled that Sela is the official party leader. The decision is being appealed.
  2. ^ Bravely for Macedonia
  3. ^ DPTM 2%
  4. ^ BDI and SDSM together
  5. ^ Green Humane City
  6. ^ Integra – Macedonian Conservative Party
  7. ^ Consists of VMRO-DPMNE, SPM, DPSM, DS, PODEM, ROM, Party of Vlachs from Macedonia, VOICE for Macedonia, NLP, SDU, DPR, RZPRM, OPER, Dignity, TMRO, MAAK, United for Macedonia and Macedonian Concept
  8. ^ Consists of: SDSM, LDP, NSDP, VMRO-NP, PDT, DOM, POPGM, SSM, DNET, SNSM, BNP, DSR, DSVM, SRM, Party of Democratic Action of Macedonia, Desnica, PDPR and POEN
  9. ^ Consists of BDI, Alliance for Albanians (Sela's - led), PDSH, Democratic European Party, People's Movement, DPT, Movement of Turks for Justice and Democracy, Union of Roma in Macedonia and Bosniak Democratic Union
  10. ^ Consists of Democratic Movement, Alternativa, Alliance for Albanians (Taravari's - led) and the Besa Movement

References[edit]

  1. ^ "Parliamentary elections in North Macedonia/ The date when they will be held is revealed". CNA. 4 December 2023.
  2. ^ http://web.archive.org/web/20240508212412/https://eutoday.net/north-macedonia-elections/
  3. ^ Electoral system IPU
  4. ^ Early Parliamentary Elections 11 December 2016 OSCE
  5. ^ a b "North Macedonia holds presidential and parliamentary elections Wednesday". Associated Press. 8 May 2024. Retrieved 8 May 2024.
  6. ^ "North Macedonia: Frustrated voters set to punish government". DW. 8 May 2024. Retrieved 8 May 2024.
  7. ^ "Претседателски и парламентарни избори 2024 – 08.05.2024". Државна Изборна Комисија (in Macedonian). 8 May 2024.