Opinion polling for the 2021 Portuguese presidential election

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In the run up to the 2021 Portuguese presidential election, various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Portugal. Results of such polls are displayed in this article.

Poll results are listed in the table below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading candidate colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded but both are displayed in bold. Poll results use the date the survey's fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication.

Candidates vote[edit]

First round[edit]

Graphical summary[edit]

Polling[edit]

  Exit poll

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
João Ferreira (48951288883) (cropped).jpg
 Others Lead
Rebelo de Sousa
PSD 		Matias
BE 		Ferreira
CDU 		Rans
RIR 		Ventura
CHEGA 		Gomes
Ind./PS 		Mayan
IL
2021 election 24 Jan 2021 – 60.7 4.0 4.3 3.0 11.9 13.0 3.2 – 47.7
CESOP–UCP 24 Jan 2021 18,388 57–62 3.5–5.5 3.5–5.5 2–4 9–12 13–16 3–5 — 45
ICS/ISCTE 24 Jan 2021 20,675 55.5–60.5 2.4–5.4 3.3–6.3 2.3–5.3 10.1–14.1 13.1–17.1 1.3–3.3 — 42.9
Pitagórica 24 Jan 2021 28,162 56.4–60.4 2.2–6.2 2.1–6.1 0.9–4.9 9.9–13.9 12.2–16.2 2.4–5.4 — 44.2
Intercampus 24 Jan 2021 23,581 58.8–60.6 3.1–5.5 2.9–5.3 1.6–4.0 10.1–13.7 12.7–16.3 3.0–5.4 — 45.2
Eurosondagem 18–21 Jan 2021 2,533 61.8 6.0 4.8 1.7 10.0 13.6 2.1 – 48.2
ICS/ISCTE 12–18 Jan 2021 1,210 58 6 6 1 12.5 14.5 2 – 43.5
Pitagórica 7–18 Jan 2021 629 65.4 3.5 3.9 1.8 9.0 12.3 4.2 – 53.1
Aximage 9–15 Jan 2021 1,183 59.7 4.3 5.0 1.5 9.7 15.4 3.3 1.1 44.3
CESOP–UCP 11–14 Jan 2021 2,001 63 3 5 2 10 14 3 – 49
Pitagórica 29 Dec 2020–10 Jan 2021 629 66.7 4.0 3.2 2.1 11.0 10.8 2.3 – 56.5
Intercampus 4–7 Jan 2021 603 59.3 6.4 4.4 2.0 9.5 9.5 2.2 6.6 49.8
Eurosondagem 3–7 Jan 2021 2,521 60.2 6.6 5.2 1.0 10.1 14.8 2.0 – 45.4
Pitagórica 22 Dec 2020–3 Jan 2021 629 67.9 4.3 2.6 0.4 11.4 11.4 2.1 – 56.5
Pitagórica 17–27 Dec 2020 629 66.5 4.5 2.8 0.8 10.6 13.0 1.7 – 53.5
Aximage 19–22 Dec 2020 812 61.4 5.6 7.5 – 8.0 15.4 1.1 1.0 46.0
Pitagórica 17–20 Dec 2020 629 68.0 5.1 3.5 0.8 10.7 10.9 1.0 0.0 57.1
Intercampus 14–18 Dec 2020 603 58.4 4.5 3.3 – 10.9 12.1 3.2 7.6 46.3
Eurosondagem 14–17 Dec 2020 2,020 62.5 6.7 5.0 – 10.5 13.3 2.0 0.0 49.2
Pitagórica 10–13 Dec 2020 629 68.9 6.5 3.5 0.2 9.0 11.0 0.9 0.0 57.9
CESOP–UCP 4–11 Dec 2020 1,315 68 5 5 – 8 13 1 0 55
Aximage 23–26 Nov 2020 647 62.1 5.9 2.1 0.1 6.6 16.3 1.1 5.8 45.8
ICS/ISCTE 11–25 Nov 2020 802 66 7 5 – 9 13 - 0 53
Eurosondagem 16–19 Nov 2020 1,525 63.1 7.2 5.0 – 10.0 10.1 1.3 3.3 53.0
Intercampus 9–16 Nov 2020 622 56.6 8.7 2.3 – 10.5 16.1 1.6 4.4 40.5
Aximage 22–26 Oct 2020 694 62.7 4.7 1.6 0.3 7.4 17.2 1.5 4.4 45.5
Eurosondagem 12–15 Oct 2020 1,072 61.0 8.5 5.5 – 11.0 10.0 1.0 3.0 50.0
Intercampus 6–11 Oct 2020 618 56.2 6.1 2.6 – 8.2 17.2 1.5 8.2 39.0
ICS/ISCTE 14–24 Sep 2020 801 65 7 6 – 8 12 – 2 53
Intercampus 4–9 Sep 2020 614 60.3 6.2 2.9[a] – 9.4 14.0 0.5 6.7 46.3
Intercampus 6–11 Aug 2020 601 67.7 4.2 2.5[a] – 10.1 8.7 – 6.8 57.7
Intercampus 8–13 Jul 2020 620 70.8 4.0 2.6[a] – 5.0 9.7 – 7.9 61.1
Aximage 7–8 Jul 2020 600 65 4 1[a] – 7 13 – 8[b] 52
Eurosondagem 15–18 Jun 2020 1,072 69.6 6.9 4.8[c] – 7.2 6.9 – 4.6[d] 62.4
Intercampus 9–13 Jun 2020 610 62.6 5.4 3.3[a] – 9.8 10.8 – 8.1[e] 51.8
Intercampus 5–9 May 2020 620 64.5 4.4 2.1[a] – 7.4 8.2 – 13.4 56.3
Eurosondagem 20–23 Apr 2020 1,048 70.7 7.2 5.2[c] – 5.5 8.4 1.0[f] 2.0[g] 62.3
Intercampus 11–17 Feb 2020 614 58.5 4.6 2.6[a] – 9.3 8.8 – 16.2[h] 49.2
Intercampus 19–24 Jan 2020 619 68.5 7.4 3.2[a] – 8.7 – – 12.2[i] 59.8
Aximage 29 Nov–3 Dec 2019 601 69.6 3.0[j] 4.0[a] – 2.9 3.1 – 17.4[k] 65.6
2016 election 24 Jan 2016 – 52.0 10.1 3.9[l] 3.3 – – – 30.7[m] 29.1

Leadership polls[edit]

Approval ratings[edit]

The table below lists the evolution of public opinion on the president's performance in office.

Polling
firm 		Fieldwork
date 		Sample
size 		Marcelo Rebelo de Sousa
Approve Disapprove No opinion Net
Intercampus 4–7 Jan 2021 603 68.0 13.7 18.2 54.3
Pitagórica 22 Dec 2020–3 Jan 2021 629 65 6 29 59
Pitagórica 17–27 Dec 2020 629 63 8 29 55
Aximage 19–22 Dec 2020 812 62 22 16 40
Pitagórica 17–20 Dec 2020 629 64 8 28 56
Intercampus 14–18 Dec 2020 603 61.8 16.4 21.8 45.4
Pitagórica 10–13 Dec 2020 629 69 7 24 62
Eurosondagem 7–10 Dec 2020 1,020 72.7 5.5 21.8 67.2
Aximage 23–26 Nov 2020 647 74 9 17 65
Intercampus 9–16 Nov 2020 622 59.5 16.6 24.0 42.9
Eurosondagem 2–5 Nov 2020 1,011 71.5 4.5 24.0 67.0
Aximage 22–26 Oct 2020 694 60 22 18 38
Eurosondagem 5–8 Oct 2020 1,010 71.7 5.2 23.1 66.5
ICS/ISCTE 14–24 Sep 2020 801 72.1 11.8 16.1 60.3
Aximage 12–15 Sep 2020 603 64 21 15 43
Eurosondagem 7–10 Sep 2020 1,022 71.0 4.5 24.5 66.5
Intercampus 4–9 Sep 2020 614 67.6 13.1 19.4 54.5
Intercampus 6–11 Aug 2020 601 72.2 9.9 17.9 62.3
UCP–CESOP 13–18 Jul 2020 1,482 87 10 3 77
Intercampus 9–13 Jul 2020 620 72.3 8.9 18.9 63.4
Aximage 5–8 Jul 2020 624 61 22 17 39
Eurosondagem 29 Jun–2 Jul 2020 1,025 70.8 4.4 24.8 66.4
Intercampus 9–13 Jun 2020 610 73.3 11.0 15.7 62.3
Aximage 5–8 Jun 2020 605 75.0 8.4 16.6 66.6
Eurosondagem 1–4 Jun 2020 1,021 71.6 5.0 23.4 66.6
Pitagórica 16–24 May 2020 802 88 12 0 76
Intercampus 5–9 May 2020 620 75.0 8.7 16.3 66.3
Eurosondagem 4–7 May 2020 1,005 72.0 5.7 22.3 66.3
Pitagórica 15–26 Apr 2020 605 87 13 0 74
Intercampus 9–14 Apr 2020 623 76.6 6.9 16.5 69.7
Eurosondagem 29 Mar–2 Apr 2020 1,008 71.5 5.5 23.0 66.0
Marktest 24–25 Mar 2020 505 74.8 13.2 12.0 61.6
Pitagórica 13–21 Mar 2020 605 85 15 0 70
Intercampus 13–19 Mar 2020 611 63.7 14.5 21.8 49.2
Aximage 7–10 Mar 2020 680 64.1 12.7 23.2 51.4
Eurosondagem 1–5 Mar 2020 1,011 70.7 5.2 24.1 65.5
Aximage 14–18 Feb 2020 839 64.1 11.0 24.9 53.1
Intercampus 11–17 Feb 2020 614 69.3 9.6 21.1 59.7
Eurosondagem 2–6 Feb 2020 1,020 72.1 6.5 21.4 65.6
ICS/ISCTE 22 Jan–5 Feb 2020 800 85 4 11 81
Intercampus 19–24 Jan 2020 619 71.4 10.1 18.5 61.3
Aximage 9–12 Jan 2020 640 62.7 9.2 28.1 53.5
Eurosondagem 5–9 Jan 2020 1,010 72.0 7.0 21.0 65.0
Intercampus 12–17 Dec 2019 606 74.6 8.4 17.0 66.2
Eurosondagem 8–12 Dec 2019 1,019 71.0 6.2 22.8 64.8
Intercampus 20–26 Nov 2019 604 76.2 8.9 14.9 67.3
Eurosondagem 17–21 Nov 2019 1,011 72.1 7.7 20.2 64.4
Intercampus 22–28 Oct 2019 604 76.5 5.9 17.6 70.6
Intercampus 2–11 Sep 2019 801 81.1 6.5 12.4 74.6
Eurosondagem 1–5 Sep 2019 601 70.7 6.7 22.6 64.0
Pitagórica 12–24 Aug 2019 1,525 87 13 0 74
Aximage 20–27 Jul 2019 1,354 78.8 15.6 5.6 63.2
Aximage 12–15 Jul 2019 601 69.5 13.9 16.6 55.6
Pitagórica 8–14 Jul 2019 800 92 8 0 84
Eurosondagem 7–11 Jul 2019 1,011 71.9 8.3 19.8 63.6
Aximage 13–19 Jun 2019 605 65.8 18.2 16.0 47.6
Eurosondagem 2–6 Jun 2019 1,008 71.0 8.5 20.5 62.5
UCP–CESOP 16–19 May 2019 1,882 95 5 0 90
Pitagórica 10–19 May 2019 605 89 11 0 78.0
Aximage 3–8 May 2019 600 65.7 17.1 17.2 48.6
Pitagórica 3–13 Apr 2019 605 91 9 0 82
Eurosondagem 7–11 Apr 2019 1,019 70.0 8.1 21.9 61.9
Aximage 30 Mar–1 Apr 2019 602 65.8 19.3 14.9 46.5
Eurosondagem 10–14 Mar 2019 1,020 69.0 9.0 22.0 60.0
Aximage 5–10 Feb 2019 602 67.1 24.2 8.7 42.9
Eurosondagem 2–9 Jan 2019 1,010 71.0 6.5 22.5 64.5
Aximage 4–7 Jan 2019 608 74.3 17.0 8.7 57.3
Aximage 7–11 Dec 2018 602 77.7 11.5 10.8 66.2
Eurosondagem 7–14 Nov 2018 1,018 71.8 7.0 21.2 64.8
Aximage 9–12 Nov 2018 603 79.4 11.8 8.8 67.6
Aximage 1–3 Oct 2018 601 79.5 11.3 9.2 68.2
Eurosondagem 5–12 Sep 2018 1,008 73.0 8.7 18.3 64.3
Aximage 1–2 Sep 2018 603 79.0 10.5 10.5 68.5
Aximage 13–16 Jul 2018 600 80.5 8.8 10.7 71.7
Eurosondagem 4–11 Jul 2018 1,011 72.5 8.3 19.2 64.2
Aximage 9–12 Jun 2018 602 84.0 6.5 9.5 77.5
Aximage 5–9 May 2018 600 87.0 4.9 8.1 82.1
Eurosondagem 3–9 May 2018 1,008 73.0 9.0 18.0 64.0
Aximage 8–12 Apr 2018 601 86.0 4.8 9.2 81.2
Eurosondagem 8–14 Mar 2018 1,010 72.0 8.1 19.9 63.9
Aximage 2–5 Mar 2018 605 88.2 4.4 7.4 83.8
Aximage 3–6 Feb 2018 603 87.3 5.5 7.2 81.8
Eurosondagem 14–17 Jan 2018 1,018 71.8 8.2 20.0 63.6
Aximage 6–9 Jan 2018 600 87.0 4.8 8.2 82.2
Eurosondagem 6–12 Dec 2017 1,017 71.7 8.7 19.6 63.0
Aximage 1–4 Dec 2017 603 84.8 6.9 8.3 77.9
Eurosondagem 8–15 Nov 2017 1,010 70.0 7.5 22.5 62.5
Aximage 4–6 Nov 2017 600 84.1 8.1 7.8 76.0
Aximage 14–17 Oct 2017 603 87.0 6.0 7.0 81.0
Eurosondagem 4–11 Oct 2017 1,011 69.1 7.1 23.8 62.0
Eurosondagem 31 Aug–6 Sep 2017 1,007 72.0 10.3 17.7 61.7
Aximage 29–30 Aug 2017 597 87.4 6.2 6.4 81.2
Eurosondagem 27 Jul–2 Aug 2017 1,011 71.0 9.5 19.5 61.5
Aximage 6–11 Jul 2017 604 87.8 5.6 6.6 82.2
Eurosondagem 28 Jun–5 Jul 2017 1,008 70.7 9.8 19.5 60.9
Aximage 7–11 Jun 2017 601 89.2 4.9 5.9 84.3
Eurosondagem 1–7 Jun 2017 1,010 70.0 9.4 20.6 60.6
Eurosondagem 3–10 May 2017 1,005 69.0 8.5 22.5 60.5
Aximage 5–8 May 2017 603 88.1 4.4 7.5 83.7
Eurosondagem 30 Mar–5 Apr 2017 1,003 71.7 11.7 16.6 60.0
Aximage 2–4 Apr 2017 600 88.8 3.9 7.3 84.9
Eurosondagem 1–8 Mar 2017 1,011 72.0 13.8 14.2 58.2
Aximage 4–6 Mar 2017 608 88.2 4.4 7.4 83.8
Aximage 5–8 Feb 2017 601 92.6 2.8 4.6 89.8
Eurosondagem 1–8 Feb 2017 1,017 69.0 14.0 17.0 55.0
Eurosondagem 5–11 Jan 2017 1,010 70.0 13.1 16.9 56.9
Aximage 6–9 Jan 2017 603 92.9 3.0 4.1 89.9
Eurosondagem 7–14 Dec 2016 1,016 68.0 11.2 20.8 56.8
Aximage 2–4 Dec 2016 605 92.8 3.1 4.1 89.7
UCP–CESOP 19–22 Nov 2016 977 90 5 5 85
Eurosondagem 2–9 Nov 2016 1,011 70.7 13.7 15.6 57.0
Aximage 31 Oct–1 Nov 2016 601 92.2 3.0 4.8 89.2
Eurosondagem 6–12 Oct 2016 1,010 69.4 11.0 19.6 58.4
Aximage 1–3 Oct 2016 608 91.2 2.9 5.9 88.3
Eurosondagem 7–14 Sep 2016 1,009 71.0 13.3 15.7 57.7
Aximage 2–5 Sep 2016 603 91.1 3.1 5.8 88.0
Eurosondagem 26 Jul–2 Aug 2016 1,005 70.0 12.5 17.5 57.5
Aximage 15–17 Jul 2016 606 91.0 3.1 5.9 87.9
Eurosondagem 30 Jun–6 Jul 2016 1,023 68.6 13.1 18.3 55.5
Eurosondagem 1 Jun–7 Jun 2016 1,025 70.0 13.6 16.4 56.4
Aximage 30 May–1 Jun 2016 606 87.9 4.5 7.6 83.4
Eurosondagem 5–11 May 2016 1,031 68.4 12.1 19.5 56.3
Aximage 7–9 May 2016 600 92.4 3.6 4.0 88.8
Eurosondagem 7–13 Apr 2016 1,026 68.0 12.5 19.5 55.5
Aximage 2–3 Apr 2016 601 87.9 6.2 5.9 81.7

Notes[edit]

  1. ^ a b c d e f g h i With Jerónimo de Sousa as candidate from the Unitary Democratic Coalition (CDU).
  2. ^ Adolfo Mesquita Nunes: 2%
  3. ^ a b With Arménio Carlos as candidate from the Unitary Democratic Coalition (CDU).
  4. ^ Miguel Albuquerque: 2.5%; Adolfo Mesquita Nunes: 2.1%
  5. ^ Paulo Portas: 2.8%; Others/Undecided: 5.3%
  6. ^ With João Cotrim de Figueiredo as candidate from the Liberal Initiative (IL).
  7. ^ André Silva (PAN): 2.0%
  8. ^ Cristina Ferreira: 2.4%; Carlos César (PS): 1.3%; Others/Undecided: 12.5%
  9. ^ Carlos César (PS): 1.6%; Others/Undecided: 10.6%
  10. ^ With Francisco Louçã as candidate from the Left Bloc (BE).
  11. ^ Pedro Santana Lopes (Alliance): 1.0%; Others/Undecided: 16.4%
  12. ^ In 2016, the CDU candidate for the Presidency was Edgar Silva.
  13. ^ In 2016, the second most voted candidate was António Sampaio da Nóvoa with 22.9%.

External links[edit]

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