Opinion polling for the 2007 Greek legislative election
In the run up to the 2007 Greek legislative election, various organizations carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Greece during the term of the 12th Hellenic Parliament. Results of such polls are displayed in this article. The date range for these opinion polls is from the previous legislative election, held on 7 March 2004, to the day the next election was held, on 16 September 2007.
Polls are listed in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" columns on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a given poll.
Voting intention estimates[edit]
Polling[edit]
The table below lists nationwide voting intention estimates. Refusals are generally excluded from the party vote percentages, while question wording and the treatment of "don't know" responses and those not intending to vote may vary between polling organisations. Polls that show their results without disregarding those respondents who were undecided or said they would abstain from voting (either physically or by voting blank) have been re-calculated by disregarding these numbers from the totals offered through a simple rule of three in order to obtain results comparable to other polls and the official election results. When available, seat projections are displayed below the percentages in a smaller font. 151 seats are required for an absolute majority in the Hellenic Parliament.[1][2]
- Color key:
Exit poll
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | ND | PASOK | KKE | SYRIZA | LAOS | Lead | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2007 legislative election | 16 Sep 2007 | 41.8 152 |
38.1 102 |
8.2 22 |
5.0 14 |
3.8 10 |
3.7 | ||
| GPO/Mega TV | 16 Sep 2007 (21:30) | 42.0 153 |
37.8 101 |
8.2 22 |
5.0 13 |
4.0 11 |
4.2 | ||
| Rass/ERT | 16 Sep 2007 (19:00) | 41.2– 43.2 |
37.5– 39.5 |
7.0– 8.0 |
4.5– 5.5 |
3.0– 4.0 |
4.0 | ||
| Metron Analysis/ANT1 TV | 16 Sep 2007 (19:00) | 40.2– 42.8 149-155 |
36.5– 39.1 100-104 |
7.5– 8.9 20-24 |
5.0– 6.0 12-16 |
3.5– 4.5 8-12 |
3.7 | ||
| MRB/Alpha TV | 16 Sep 2007 (19:00) | 40.8– 42.8 151-152 |
37.5– 39.5 103-104 |
7.5– 8.5 21 |
4.5– 6.0 14 |
3.5– 4.5 10-11 |
3.3 | ||
| Alco/Alter TV | 16 Sep 2007 (19:00) | 40.6– 42.6 |
37.8– 39.8 |
6.4– 8.0 |
4.6– 5.8 |
3.3– 4.3 |
2.8 | ||
| GPO/Mega TV | 16 Sep 2007 (19:00) | 41.0– 43.0 149-154 |
37.5– 39.5 100-105 |
7.5– 9.0 20-24 |
4.5– 6.0 12-15 |
3.5– 4.0 9-11 |
3.5 | ||
| VPRC/Skai TV | 16 Sep 2007 (19:00) | 41.0– 43.0 149-154 |
36.0– 38.0 96-99 |
7.5– 9.5 21-23 |
5.0– 6.0 15-16 |
3.5– 4.5 10-11 |
5.0 | ||
| VPRC | 31 Aug 2007 | 42.0 | 38.0 | 8.5 | 5.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | ||
| Alco | 31 Aug 2007 | 40.1 | 39.2 | 8.3 | 4.7 | 4.6 | 0.9 | ||
| ΜRΒ | 31 Aug 2007 | 40.8 | 38.4 | 8.6 | 5.4 | 4.3 | 2.4 | ||
| GPO | 31 Aug 2007 | 40.6 | 39.0 | 8.2 | 4.6 | 5.1 | 1.6 | ||
| Marc | 30 Aug 2007 | 38.5 | 38.1 | 9.9 | 5.3 | 4.8 | 0.4 | ||
| VPRC | 30 Aug 2007 | 41.5 | 38.0 | 8.5 | 5.0 | 4.0 | 3.5 | ||
| Alco | 29 Aug 2007 | 41.9 | 41.0 | 8.2 | 4.5 | 4.4 | 0.9 | ||
| GPO | 29 Aug 2007 | 40.3 | 39.0 | 7.8 | 5.0 | 5.5 | 1.3 | ||
| Metron Analysis | 29 Aug 2007 | 38.7 | 36.6 | 10.5 | 6.1 | 4.6 | 2.1 | ||
| ΜRΒ | 28 Aug 2007 | 39.6 | 37.3 | 8.2 | 4.9 | 4.4 | 2.3 | ||
| Alco | 27 Aug 2007 | 41.6 | 40.7 | 7.7 | 4.0 | 4.3 | 0.9 | ||
| Kapa Research | 26 Aug 2007 | 40.4 | 38.9 | 8.3 | 5.7 | 4.8 | 1.5 | ||
| MRB | 23 Aug 2007 | 41.7 | 39.5 | 7.7 | 5.1 | 4.5 | 2.2 | ||
| Metron Analysis | 22 Aug 2007 | 39.8 | 37.9 | 9.0 | 5.5 | 4.5 | 1.9 | ||
| GPO | 22 Aug 2007 | 41.8 | 39.9 | 8.2 | 4.8 | 5.3 | 1.9 | ||
| VPRC | 16 Jul 2007 | 42.5 | 38.5 | 7.5 | 4.5 | 3.5 | 4.0 | ||
| Kapa Research | 30 Jun 2007 | 41.1 | 39.9 | 8.6 | 4.9 | 4.8 | 1.2 | ||
| Metron Analysis | 21 Jun 2007 | 42.5 | 41.3 | 7.4 | 4.4 | 4.4 | 1.2 | ||
| Rass | 15-21 Jun 2007 | 42.3 | 39.7 | 8.8 | 4.7 | 4.6 | 2.6 | ||
| MRB | 15 Jun 2007 | 42.5 | 39.8 | 8.2 | 5.2 | 4.3 | 1.2 | ||
| Alco | 15 Jun 2007 | 41.3 | 41.1 | 7.6 | 3.5 | 4.0 | 0.2 | ||
| VPRC | 8 Jun 2007 | 43.0 | 39.0 | 7.0 | 4.5 | 4.0 | 4.0 | ||
| GPO | 4 Jun 2007 | 40.0 | 38.8 | 8.0 | 5.0 | 5.5 | 1.2 | ||
| Metron Analysis | 2 Jun 2007 | 41.6 | 39.9 | 8.5 | 4.5 | 5.5 | 1.7 | ||
| MRB | 24 May 2007 | 42.1 | 39.7 | 7.4 | 5.2 | 5.5 | 2.4 | ||
| VPRC | 13 May 2007 | 42.5 | 39.5 | 6.5 | 5.0 | 3.5 | 3.0 | ||
| Metron Analysis | 1-13 May 2007 | 41.8 | 40.3 | 8.1 | 5.4 | 4.4 | 1.5 | ||
| GPO | 27-30 Apr 2007 | 41.3 | 40.0 | 8.5 | 4.8 | 5.4 | 1.3 | ||
| MRB | 27 Apr 2007 | 42.8 | 39.9 | 8.0 | 4.9 | 4.4 | 2.9 | ||
| Metron Analysis | 13-27 Apr 2007 | 42.3 | 40.4 | 7.0 | 5.5 | 4.8 | 1.9 | ||
| GPO | 13-27 Apr 2007 | 41.9 | 39.9 | 8.4 | 4.7 | 5.2 | 2.0 | ||
| VPRC | 13 Apr 2007 | 42.5 | 39.0 | 7.0 | 4.5 | 4.0 | 3.5 | ||
| GPO | 2 Apr 2007 | 41.6 | 39.6 | 8.1 | 4.6 | 5.2 | 2.0 | ||
| Kapa Research | 30 Mar 2007 | 42.4 | 41.2 | 8.0 | 3.9 | 4.5 | 1.2 | ||
| Alco | 30 Mar 2007 | 43.6 | 42.9 | 7.1 | 3.6 | 2.8 | 0.7 | ||
| MRB | 22-30 Mar 2007 | 42.8 | 39.7 | 8.2 | 4.4 | 5.0 | 3.1 | ||
| Metron Analysis | 22 Mar 2007 | 42.8 | 41.4 | 8.1 | 3.6 | 4.2 | 1.4 | ||
| VPRC | 11 Mar 2007 | 43.0 | 39.5 | 7.0 | 4.5 | 3.5 | 3.5 | ||
| MRB | 25-28 Feb 2007 | 43.3 | 39.5 | 9.2 | 3.7 | 4.4 | 3.8 | ||
| GPO | 25-28 Feb 2007 | 42.9 | 39.5 | 8.0 | 4.6 | 5.0 | 3.4 | ||
| Rass | 25 Feb 2007 | 44.8 | 41.4 | 7.1 | 3.4 | 3.3 | 3.4 | ||
| VPRC | 11 Feb 2007 | 43.0 | 39.5 | 7.5 | 4.0 | 3.5 | 3.5 | ||
| Kapa Research | 10 Feb 2007 | 42.8 | 41.0 | 8.4 | 4.1 | 3.7 | 1.8 | ||
| GPO | 1-10 Feb 2007 | 42.7 | 40.5 | 7.8 | 4.4 | 4.6 | 2.2 | ||
| GPO | 15 Jan 2007 | 41.6 | 39.0 | 8.5 | 4.8 | 5.3 | 2.6 | ||
| VPRC | 14 Jan 2007 | 43.0 | 39.0 | 7.5 | 4.0 | 3.5 | 4.0 | ||
| Kapa Research | Dec 2006 | 42.2 | 41.0 | 8.6 | 4.3 | 3.9 | 1.2 | ||
| Rass | Dec 2006 | 43.5 | 40.4 | 8.7 | 4.1 | 3.3 | 3.1 | ||
| Metron Analysis | Dec 2006 | 43.1 | 41.1 | 7.0 | 4.2 | 4.5 | 2.0 | ||
| VPRC | Dec 2006 | 43.0 | 38.5 | 7.5 | 4.5 | 3.5 | 4.5 | ||
| GPO | Dec 2006 | 42.6 | 40.8 | 7.7 | 4.2 | 4.7 | 1.8 | ||
| MRB | Dec 2006 | 43.8 | 40.3 | 8.3 | 3.6 | 3.9 | 3.5 | ||
| Alco | Nov 2006 | 43.3 | 40.8 | 8.1 | 3.9 | 3.9 | 2.5 | ||
| GPO | Nov 2006 | 42.3 | 38.5 | 8.5 | 4.6 | 5.0 | 3.8 | ||
| ΜRB | Nov 2006 | 43.2 | 39.5 | 8.3 | 4.8 | 4.2 | 3.7 | ||
| VPRC | Nov 2006 | 42.5 | 38.5 | 8.0 | 4.5 | 4.0 | 4.0 | ||
| Kapa Research | Oct 2006 | 43.6 | 40.3 | 8.5 | 3.9 | 3.7 | 3.3 | ||
| Metron Analysis | Oct 2006 | 43.3 | 39.2 | 7.7 | 5.4 | 4.5 | 4.1 | ||
| Kapa Research | Oct 2006 | 42.4 | 40.1 | 7.6 | 3.8 | 3.4 | 2.3 | ||
| GPO | Oct 2006 | 41.8 | 39.6 | 8.9 | 4.9 | 4.9 | 2.2 | ||
| VPRC | Oct 2006 | 42.5 | 38.5 | 8.0 | 4.5 | 4.0 | 4.0 | ||
| VPRC | Sep 2006 | 42.5 | 38.5 | 8.0 | 4.5 | 4.0 | 4.0 | ||
| GPO | Sep 2006 | 41.9 | 38.8 | 9.7 | 4.6 | 5.1 | 3.1 | ||
| Metron Analysis | Aug 2006 | 42.9 | 40.2 | 8.4 | 4.2 | 4.2 | 2.7 | ||
| VPRC | Jul 2006 | 42.0 | 38.0 | 8.5 | 4.5 | 4.5 | 4.0 | ||
| Metron Analysis | Jun 2006 | 41.6 | 40.1 | 8.8 | 3.9 | 5.6 | 1.5 | ||
| MRB | Jun 2006 | 43.1 | 40.1 | 8.5 | 3.6 | 4.6 | 3.0 | ||
| VPRC | Jun 2006 | 41.5 | 38.5 | 8.5 | 4.5 | 4.5 | 3.0 | ||
| GPO | Jun 2006 | 41.4 | 39.0 | 9.0 | 4.4 | 6.2 | 2.4 | ||
| Kapa Research | May 2006 | 42.0 | 39.9 | 8.3 | 4.0 | 5.8 | 2.1 | ||
| Marc | May 2006 | 41.3 | 40.3 | 8.6 | 4.9 | 5.0 | 1.0 | ||
| Metron Analysis | May 2006 | 41.8 | 40.6 | 8.2 | 3.7 | 5.6 | 1.2 | ||
| VPRC | May 2006 | 42.0 | 39.0 | 8.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | ||
| GPO | Apr 2006 | 41.5 | 40.5 | 8.5 | 3.7 | 5.9 | 1.0 | ||
| VPRC | Apr 2006 | 41.5 | 39.5 | 9.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | ||
| DIMEL | Apr 2006 | 42.2 | 44.7 | 6.8 | 3.5 | 2.8 | 2.5 | ||
| GPO | Mar 2006 | 41.7 | 40.5 | 7.7 | 3.8 | 6.2 | 1.2 | ||
| Metron Analysis | Mar 2006 | 41.2 | 41.5 | 8.4 | 3.9 | 5.0 | 0.3 | ||
| VPRC | Mar 2006 | 42.0 | 39.5 | 8.0 | 3.5 | 4.5 | 2.5 | ||
| Kapa Research | Mar 2006 | 41.2 | 40.4 | 8.4 | 3.9 | 6.0 | 0.8 | ||
| MRB | Mar 2006 | 41.8 | 40.5 | 8.4 | 3.8 | 5.6 | 1.3 | ||
| Kapa Research | Mar 2006 | 41.3 | 40.7 | 8.5 | 3.9 | 5.6 | 0.6 | ||
| Metron Analysis | Mar 2006 | 41.5 | 41.3 | 7.8 | 4.5 | 4.9 | 0.2 | ||
| Rass | Mar 2006 | 40.3 | 39.9 | 7.9 | 4.8 | 7.0 | 0.4 | ||
| Alco | Feb 2006 | 40.7 | 41.2 | 8.0 | 3.4 | 6.7 | 0.5 | ||
| GPO | Feb 2006 | 41.9 | 40.2 | 7.8 | 3.9 | 6.2 | 1.7 | ||
| Kapa Research | Feb 2006 | 42.2 | 39.8 | 8.2 | 3.8 | 5.9 | 2.4 | ||
| MRB | Feb 2006 | 42.9 | 40.2 | 8.1 | 4.1 | 4.7 | 2.7 | ||
| VPRC | Feb 2006 | 41.5 | 39.5 | 8.0 | 3.5 | 5.0 | 2.0 | ||
| GPO | Jan 2006 | 41.3 | 38.9 | 8.9 | 4.4 | 6.5 | 2.4 | ||
| VPRC | Jan 2006 | 42.0 | 39.5 | 8.0 | 3.5 | 4.5 | 2.5 | ||
| Kapa Research | Dec 2005 | 39.4 | 38.0 | 8.3 | 4.5 | 6.4 | 1.4 | ||
| MRB | Dec 2005 | 41.8 | 39.3 | 8.3 | 3.9 | 4.1 | 2.5 | ||
| GPO | Dec 2005 | 39.5 | 37.9 | 8.6 | 4.9 | 5.7 | 1.6 | ||
| VPRC | Dec 2005 | 42.0 | 39.5 | 8.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 2.5 | ||
| VPRC | Nov 2005 | 42.5 | 39.0 | 8.0 | 4.5 | 3.5 | 3.5 | ||
| GPO | Nov 2005 | 41.7 | 38.7 | 8.0 | 4.7 | 4.0 | 3.0 | ||
| Metron Analysis | Nov 2005 | 40.7 | 40.0 | 8.7 | 4.6 | 4.9 | 0.7 | ||
| Alco | Oct 2005 | 41.9 | 40.4 | 7.9 | 3.6 | 4.1 | 1.5 | ||
| VPRC | Oct 2005 | 42.5 | 39.0 | 8.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 3.5 | ||
| GPO | Oct 2005 | 41.4 | 37.8 | 8.1 | 4.7 | 3.6 | 3.6 | ||
| GPO | Sep 2005 | 43.3 | 38.4 | 7.5 | 4.7 | 3.5 | 4.9 | ||
| VPRC | Sep 2005 | 42.5 | 38.5 | 7.5 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | ||
| VPRC | Jul 2005 | 43.0 | 39.0 | 7.0 | 4.5 | 3.5 | 4.0 | ||
| Metron Analysis | Jun 2005 | 41.6 | 38.8 | 8.8 | 5.0 | 4.6 | 2.8 | ||
| VPRC | Jun 2005 | 43.5 | 38.0 | 7.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 5.5 | ||
| MRB | May 2005 | 43.6 | 39.0 | 7.6 | 4.0 | 3.3 | 4.6 | ||
| VPRC | May 2005 | 43.5 | 39.0 | 6.5 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 4.5 | ||
| Kapa Research | May 2005 | 43.0 | 40.3 | 7.5 | 3.6 | 4.0 | 2.7 | ||
| VPRC | Apr 2005 | 43.5 | 39.5 | 6.5 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | ||
| MRB | Apr 2005 | 43.5 | 39.7 | 7.6 | 3.9 | 2.9 | 3.8 | ||
| Kapa Research | Mar 2005 | 44.1 | 39.1 | 6.9 | 4.2 | 3.5 | 5.0 | ||
| Opinion | Mar 2005 | 42.8 | 37.9 | 7.0 | 4.4 | 4.1 | 4.9 | ||
| VPRC | Mar 2005 | 44.5 | 40.0 | 7.0 | 3.5 | 3.0 | 4.5 | ||
| Metron Analysis | Feb 2005 | 42.8 | 37.9 | 7.0 | 4.4 | 4.1 | 4.9 | ||
| GPO | Feb 2005 | 44.8 | 38.1 | 7.7 | 3.4 | 3.5 | 6.7 | ||
| VPRC | Jan 2005 | 46.0 | 39.0 | 7.0 | 3.5 | 2.5 | 7.0 | ||
| MRB | Dec 2004 | 44.6 | 37.5 | 8.0 | 4.2 | 3.5 | 7.1 | ||
| VPRC | Dec 2004 | 47.0 | 38.0 | 7.5 | 3.0 | 2.5 | 9.0 | ||
| GPO | Dec 2004 | 46.0 | 38.3 | 7.1 | 3.7 | 3.2 | 7.7 | ||
| Alco | Nov 2004 | 44.7 | 37.7 | 7.9 | 3.8 | 3.8 | 7.0 | ||
| VPRC | Nov 2004 | 48.0 | 36.5 | 7.5 | 2.5 | 2.0 | 11.5 | ||
| Metron Analysis | Oct 2004 | 45.3 | 38.4 | 7.2 | 4.3 | 3.3 | 6.9 | ||
| MRB | Oct 2004 | 46.8 | 37.4 | 7.3 | 4.4 | 2.4 | 9.4 | ||
| VPRC | Oct 2004 | 48.0 | 37.5 | 8.0 | 2.5 | 2.0 | 10.5 | ||
| GPO | Sep 2004 | 46.7 | 38.1 | 6.8 | 3.5 | 3.2 | 8.6 | ||
| Kapa Research | Sep 2004 | 48.0 | 39.3 | 6.9 | 2.7 | 2.0 | 8.7 | ||
| VPRC | Jun 2004 | 45.5 | 35.5 | 9.0 | 4.5 | 3.0 | 10.0 | ||
| GPO | May 2004 | 45.4 | 36.2 | 8.4 | 4.2 | 2.9 | 9.2 | ||
| VPRC | May 2004 | 42.0 | 34.0 | 7.0 | 3.5 | 2.5 | 8.0 | ||
| Opinion | May 2004 | 46.7 | 37.4 | 6.5 | 3.8 | 2.7 | 9.3 | ||
| Metron Analysis | May 2004 | 45.9 | 37.5 | 7.9 | 4.3 | 2.5 | 8.4 | ||
| Αlco | May 2004 | 44.8 | 36.5 | 8.5 | 4.6 | 3.1 | 8.3 | ||
| MRB | May 2004 | 46.0 | 37.4 | 7.4 | 4.1 | 2.3 | 8.6 | ||
| MRB | May 2004 | 46.4 | 37.9 | 7.1 | 4.3 | 2.4 | 8.5 | ||
| VPRC | May 2004 | 41.5 | 33.5 | 7.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 8.0 | ||
| GPO | May 2004 | 45.6 | 37.0 | 8.0 | 4.0 | 3.2 | 8.6 | ||
| Opinion | May 2004 | 47.9 | 37.7 | 6.6 | 4.2 | 2.7 | 10.2 | ||
| Metron Analysis | May 2004 | 45.8 | 38.0 | 6.5 | 4.2 | 2.5 | 7.8 | ||
| Metron Analysis | May 2004 | 45.6 | 35.7 | 7.1 | 5.1 | 3.7 | 9.9 | ||
| Kapa Research | May 2004 | 46.2 | 38.3 | 7.0 | 3.8 | 2.6 | 7.9 | ||
| VPRC | Apr 2004 | 47.5 | 36.0 | 8.0 | 4.0 | 2.5 | 11.5 | ||
| Prognosis | Apr 2004 | 47.6 | 39.3 | 6.8 | 3.7 | – | 8.3 | ||
| GPO | Apr 2004 | 45.1 | 37.6 | 7.6 | 4.5 | 2.8 | 7.5 | ||
| 2004 legislative election | 7 Mar 2004 | 45.4 165 |
40.6 117 |
5.9 12 |
3.3 6 |
2.2 0 |
4.8 | ||
References[edit]
- ^ Exit poll results Archived 2007-09-29 at the Wayback Machine from the Ethnos daily newspaper
- ^ "Opinion polling - Legislative election 2007 - by chronological order". eklogesonline.com.
