Leadership opinion polling for the 2015 Spanish general election
In the run up to the 2015 Spanish general election, various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge the opinions that voters hold towards political leaders. Results of such polls are displayed in this article. The date range for these opinion polls is from the previous general election, held on 20 November 2011, to the day the next election was held, on 20 December 2015.
Preferred Prime Minister[edit]
The table below lists opinion polling on leader preferences to become Prime Minister.
All candidates[edit]
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | .jpg)
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Other/ None/ Not care |
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Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rajoy PP |
Sánchez PSOE |
Garzón IU |
Díez UPyD |
Rivera C's |
Iglesias Podemos | ||||||
| NC Report/La Razón[1][2] | 9–12 Dec 2015 | 3,000 | 21.2 | 17.4 | – | – | 11.7 | 8.4 | 10.3 | 31.0 | 3.8 |
| InvyMark/laSexta[3] | 7–11 Dec 2015 | ? | 23.9 | 21.8 | – | – | 20.7 | 21.9 | – | 11.7 | 2.0 |
| Metroscopia/El País[4] | 7–10 Dec 2015 | 2,800 | 21.0 | 18.0 | – | – | 16.0 | 18.0 | 27.0 | 3.0 | |
| GESOP/El Periódico[5] | 23–28 Nov 2015 | 1,816 | 19.6 | 19.6 | 6.7 | – | 19.3 | 14.5 | 11.8 | 8.5 | Tie |
| Metroscopia/El País[6] | 26–28 Oct 2015 | 1,400 | 17.0 | 16.0 | – | – | 22.0 | 14.0 | 8.0 | 23.0 | 5.0 |
| InvyMark/laSexta[7][8] | 22–26 Jun 2015 | 1,200 | 20.3 | 31.1 | – | – | 12.2 | 20.1 | 3.9 | 12.4 | 10.8 |
| GESOP/El Periódico[9] | 8–13 Apr 2015 | 1,000 | 15.3 | 15.8 | 5.0 | 1.5 | 16.0 | 19.4 | 19.1 | 7.9 | 3.4 |
| InvyMark/laSexta[10][11] | 2–6 Feb 2015 | 1,200 | 25.9 | 26.0 | – | – | – | 31.2 | – | 16.9 | 5.2 |
| InvyMark/laSexta[12] | 15–19 Dec 2014 | 1,200 | 19.3 | 29.1 | – | – | – | 31.0 | – | 20.6 | 1.9 |
| GESOP/El Periódico[13] | 9–15 Dec 2014 | 1,000 | 15.9 | 13.4 | 4.0 | 5.4 | 3.9 | 25.1 | 20.7 | 11.6 | 9.2 |
| InvyMark/laSexta[14][15] | 27–31 Oct 2014 | ? | 13.7 | 24.8 | – | – | – | 34.1 | – | 27.4 | 9.3 |
Rajoy vs. Rubalcaba[edit]
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
|
.jpg)
|
Other/ None/ Not care |
|
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rajoy PP |
Rubalcaba PSOE | ||||||
| GESOP/El Periódico[16] | 20–23 Jan 2014 | 1,000 | 24.0 | 31.3 | 42.1 | 2.6 | 7.3 |
| GESOP/El Periódico[17] | 25–28 Nov 2013 | 1,000 | 23.0 | 29.7 | 45.2 | 2.1 | 6.7 |
| Feedback/La Vanguardia[18] | 2–6 Sep 2013 | 1,500 | 26.4 | 35.1 | 37.7 | 0.8 | 8.7 |
| GESOP/El Periódico[19] | 25–28 Jun 2013 | 1,000 | 22.7 | 30.4 | 43.9 | 3.0 | 7.7 |
| GESOP/El Periódico[20] | 25–29 Jan 2013 | 1,000 | 21.6 | 32.7 | 42.3 | 3.4 | 11.1 |
| GESOP/El Periódico[21] | 14–18 Jun 2012 | 1,000 | 30.9 | 36.0 | 30.5 | 2.6 | 5.1 |
| GESOP/El Periódico[22] | 23–28 Feb 2012 | 1,000 | 39.0 | 33.5 | 24.6 | 2.9 | 5.5 |
Predicted Prime Minister[edit]
The table below lists opinion polling on the perceived likelihood for each leader to become Prime Minister.
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
|
|
|
|
Other/ None/ Not care |
|
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rajoy PP |
Sánchez PSOE |
Rivera C's |
Iglesias Podemos | ||||||
| NC Report/La Razón[1][2] | 9–12 Dec 2015 | 3,000 | 45.8 | 16.8 | 7.8 | 6.3 | 10.3 | 13.0 | 29.0 |
| InvyMark/laSexta[7][8] | 22–26 Jun 2015 | 1,200 | 30.6 | 38.6 | 8.7 | 4.1 | 0.5 | 17.5 | 8.0 |
| InvyMark/laSexta[10][11] | 2–6 Feb 2015 | 1,200 | 41.6 | 17.4 | – | 23.3 | – | 17.7 | 18.3 |
| InvyMark/laSexta[12] | 15–19 Dec 2014 | 1,200 | 29.5 | 32.7 | – | 23.8 | – | 14.0 | 3.2 |
| InvyMark/laSexta[12] | 1–5 Dec 2014 | ? | 21.2 | 28.6 | – | 19.1 | – | 31.1 | 7.4 |
| InvyMark/laSexta[14][15] | 27–31 Oct 2014 | ? | 22.8 | 24.7 | – | 21.8 | – | 30.7 | 1.9 |
References[edit]
- ^ a b "Un 36% desea un pacto PP-C's frente a un 16,7% que prefiere PSOE-Podemos". La Razón (in Spanish). 13 December 2015.
- ^ a b "El escenario de los pactos" (PDF). La Razón (in Spanish). 13 December 2015.
- ^ "El PP ganaría las elecciones con un 29%, empate técnico entre PSOE y Ciudadanos y remontada de Podemos". laSexta (in Spanish). 13 December 2015.
- ^ "El tiempo de pactar (con todos)". Metroscopia (in Spanish). 14 December 2015.
- ^ "Encuesta preelectoral en España. Las elecciones generales del 20D. Noviembre de 2015" (PDF). GESOP (in Spanish). 2 December 2015.
- ^ "PP, Ciudadanos y PSOE pugnan por la victoria el 20-D; Podemos, al alza". El País (in Spanish). 1 November 2015.
- ^ a b "El PP ganaría las elecciones por la mínima sólo tres puntos por delante de PSOE y Podemos". laSexta (in Spanish). 28 June 2015.
- ^ a b "La mayoría de los encuestados prefiere a Pedro Sánchez como presidente del Gobierno". laSexta (in Spanish). 27 June 2015.
- ^ "Barómetro político de España. Abril de 2015" (PDF). GESOP (in Spanish). 20 April 2015.
- ^ a b "Empate técnico entre PP y Podemos en intención de voto". laSexta (in Spanish). 7 February 2015.
- ^ a b "Empate técnico entre PP y Podemos en el barómetro de laSexta". laSexta (in Spanish). 7 February 2015.
- ^ a b c "Empate técnico entre el Partido Popular y Podemos en intención de voto". laSexta (in Spanish). 21 December 2014.
- ^ "Barómetro político de España. Diciembre de 2014" (PDF). GESOP (in Spanish). 20 December 2014.
- ^ a b "Podemos se sitúa como segunda fuerza política en intención de voto, a menos de cuatro puntos del PP". laSexta (in Spanish). 31 October 2014.
- ^ a b "Podemos es la segunda fuerza política en intención de voto con un 22,7% de los apoyos". laSexta (in Spanish). 1 November 2014.
- ^ "Barómetro político de España. Enero de 2014" (PDF). GESOP (in Spanish). 3 February 2014.
- ^ "Barómetro político de España. Noviembre de 2013" (PDF). GESOP (in Spanish). 6 December 2013.
- ^ "El PP mantiene la ventaja sobre el PSOE mientras suben IU y UPyD". La Vanguardia (in Spanish). 8 September 2013.
- ^ "Barómetro político de España. Junio de 2013" (PDF). GESOP (in Spanish). 5 July 2013.
- ^ "Barómetro político de España. Enero de 2013" (PDF). GESOP (in Spanish). 3 February 2013.
- ^ "Baròmetre d'Opinió Política d'Espanya. Juny de 2012" (PDF). GESOP (in Catalan). 25 June 2012.
- ^ "Baròmetre d'Opinió Política d'Espanya. Febrer de 2012" (PDF). GESOP (in Catalan). 4 March 2012.
