Opinion polling for the 2023 Estonian parliamentary election

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In the run up to the 2023 Estonian parliamentary election, various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Estonia. The date range for these opinion polls are from the 2019 Estonian parliamentary election held on 3 March. Poll results are listed in the table below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first. The highest percentage figure in each poll is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded.

Poll trackers[edit]

Trackers of voting intentions and other election-related polling:

Graphical summary[edit]

Polling results[edit]

For the events during these years, see 2019 in Estonia, 2020 in Estonia, 2021 in Estonia, 2022 in Estonia, and 2023 in Estonia.

2023[edit]

Polling firm Fieldwork Date Sample
size 		Ref Kesk EKRE Isamaa SDE E200 EER Parem Others Lead Gov. Opp.
Election Results 5 Mar N/A 31.2 15.3 16.1 8.2 9.3 13.3 1.0 2.3 3.3 15.1 48.7 51.3
37 16 17 8 9 14 0 0 8.0 54 47
Norstat[a] 28 Feb-3 Mar 1,000 33.1 14.9 15.6 7.3 7.7 15.4 1.8 2.9 0.7 17.5 48.1 52.9
Kantar Emor 28 Feb-2 Mar 1,613 29.0 16.0 14.3 7.2 11.5 15.3 2.2 2.4 2.2 13.0 47.7 52.3
Turu-uuringute AS 20-28 Feb 600–700 30 17 15 8 9 14 2 3 2 13 47 51
Norstat[a] 21-27 Feb 1,000 24.8 19.0 25.2 8.8 8.6 9.5 0.8 1.7 1.4 0.4 42.2 57.8
Faktum & Ariko 20-27 Feb 959 24 17 22 8 8 13 2 1 3[b] 2 40 60
Kantar Emor 20-22 Feb 1,577 28.2 13.9 18.1 9.1 10.4 13.4 2.9 2.2 0.8 10.1 48.7 50.5
Norstat 14-20 Feb 1,000 29.0 17.9 21.7 10.3 6.6 9.7 2.2 1.3 1.3 7.3 45.9 52.8
Kantar Emor 13-16 Feb 1,595 31.0 16.2 17.2 7.3 8.6 13.4 2.5 2.1 1.8 13.8 46.9 51.4
Norstat 7-13 Feb 1,000 27.5 20.6 21.1 8.4 7.1 10.2 1.6 1.7 1.8 6.4 43 55.2
Kantar Emor 6-9 Feb 1,493 31.8 15.8 18.6 8.8 8.0 12.1 2.7 1.8 0.4 13.2 48.6 51.0
Norstat 31 Jan - 6 Feb 1,000 31.9 18.1 22.8 7.0 7.1 8.4 1.9 1.8 1.0 9.1 46 53
Kantar Emor 30 Jan - 2 Feb 1,554 30.3 16.4 19.3 7.0 8.3 13.1 2.4 1.6 1.7 11.0 45.6 52.8
Norstat 24-30 Jan 1,000 27.7 19.5 21.5 7.8 6.7 13.0 1.4 1.3 1.0 6.2 42.2 56.8
Turu-uuringute AS 27 Jan[c] 600–700 26 16 25 7 7 13 2 1 3 1 40 57
Kantar Emor 19-26 Jan 1,639 31.5 16.0 19.1 5.6 7.6 12.4 2.9 2.0 2.9 12.4 44.7 52.4
Norstat 17-23 Jan 1,000 31.7 21.3 18.4 5.4 7.7 12.5 1.1 1.4 0.5 10.4 44.8 54.7
Norstat 10-16 Jan 1,000 30.4 17.8 20.0 8.3 9.5 10.7 2.3 0.7 0.4 10.4 48.2 51.4
Kantar Emor 5-11 Jan 1,639 28 18 21 7 10 11 3 1 0 7 45 55
Norstat 2-9 Jan 1,000 34.2 16.9 23.3 4.8 8.4 9.2 2.2 0.6 0.5 8.9 47.4 52.1

2022[edit]

Polling firm Fieldwork Date Sample
size 		Ref Kesk EKRE Isamaa SDE E200 EER Parem Others Lead Gov. Opp.
Norstat 20-27 Dec 1,000 31.0 16.5 22.8 9.1 5.6 10.6 2.1 1.2 1.1 8.2 45.7 54.3
Norstat 13-19 Dec 1,000 31.5 15.2 24.6 6.5 7.7 9.6 2.1 0.4 1.6 6.9 45.7 54.3
Kantar Emor 8-16 Dec 1,510 30 16 18 8 9 14 3 1 0 12 47 52
Norstat 6-12 Dec 1,000 31.3 15.1 27.1 8.3 6.0 8.6 1.4 0.8 1.4 4.2 45.6 54.4
Turu-uuringute AS 6 Dec[d] 600–700 35 14 21 7 7 11 1 1 3 14 49 51
Norstat 29 Nov-5 Dec 1,000 34.0 15.5 24.0 5.4 7.5 10.3 1.6 1.1 0.6 10.0 46.9 53.1
Norstat 22-28 Nov 1,000 33.6 17.0 23.7 7.0 5.4 10.6 1.5 0.9 0.3 9.9 46.0 54.0
Norstat 15-21 Nov 1,000 32.5 18.1 24.3 8.7 5.9 8.4 1.2 0.3 0.6 8.2 47.1 52.9
Kantar Emor 10-17 Nov 1,512 31 15 22 6 8 14 3 1 0 9 45 55
Norstat 8-14 Nov 1,000 33.7 16.8 23.6 5.9 7.9 9.1 1.1 0.7 1.2 10.1 47.5 52.5
Turu-uuringute AS 9 Nov[e] 600–700 32 11 24 6 9 12 2 1 3 8 47 53
Norstat 1-6 Nov 1,000 33.5 15.1 25.7 8.9 5.2 8.4 1.3 1.1 0.8 7.8 47.6 52.4
Norstat 26-31 Oct 1,000 31.0 14.9 28.0 7.0 6.9 9.0 1.0 1.0 1.2 3.0 44.9 55.1
Norstat 18-25 Oct 1,000 34.2 15.3 26.3 6.8 6.2 8.6 0.5 0.8 1.3 7.9 47.2 52.8
Kantar Emor 13-19 Oct 1,469 28 14 25 7 8 14 2 1 1 3 43 56
Norstat 11-17 Oct 1,000 32.2 11.6 28.8 8.9 6.4 9.0 1.7 0.3 1.1 3.4 47.5 52.5
Turu-uuringute AS 12 Oct[f] 600–700 29 12 28 8 7 12 1 0 3 1 44 56
Norstat 4-10 Oct 1,000 32.2 13.9 27.0 6.2 7.7 9.1 1.7 0.8 2.2 5.2 46.1 51.7
Norstat 27 Sep-3 Oct 1,000 33.5 11.9 27.8 8.3 5.5 9.4 1.4 0.7 1.5 5.7 47.3 51.2
Norstat 20–26 Sep 1,000 28.3 19.6 27.4 5.9 6.3 8.7 1.5 0.6 1.7 0.9 40.5 57.8
Norstat 13–19 Sep 1,000 30.5 16.7 27.7 6.0 6.5 9.3 1.2 1.3 0.8 2.8 43.0 56.2
Turu-uuringute AS 16 Sep[g] 500–700 33 15 18 7 9 12 2 0.8 3.2 15 49 47.8
Kantar Emor 8-14 Sep 1,431 29 14 23 8 11 11 3 1 1 6 48 52
Norstat 6-12 Sep 1,000 30.4 15.4 24.7 8.4 8.3 8.1 1.7 — 3.1 5.7 47.1 40.1
Norstat 27 Aug-5 Sep 1,000 31.1 13.6 22.9 8.1 9.3 11.1 2.1 — 1.8 8.2 48.5 36.5
Norstat 23-29 Aug 1,000 32.0 16.0 24.9 7.5 6.5 9.6 1.5 0.9 1.1 7.1 46 54
Turu-uuringute AS 25 Aug[h] 600–700 28 15 17 8 11 14 2 — 5 11 47 46
Norstat 16-22 Aug 1,000 35.1 15.2 20.1 9.9 7.4 9.0 2.2 — 1.1 8.6 52.4 47.6
Kantar Emor 11-22 Aug 1,514 31 16 18 7 11 13 2 — 1[i] 12 49 51
18 Aug Dissidents split from Isamaa to form Parempoolsed
Polling firm Fieldwork Date Sample
size 		Ref Kesk EKRE Isamaa SDE E200 EER Others Lead Gov. Opp.
Norstat 9-15 Aug 1,000 31.8 19.2 23.2 7.2 8.0 7.7 1.0 1.9 8.6 47 53
Norstat 2-8 Aug 1,000 35.5 14.5 19.1 7.6 11 9.9 1.1 1.3 16.4 54.1 45.9
Norstat 25 Jul-1 Aug 1,000 35.5 16.6 21.8 9.0 8.5 6.7 1.7 0.2 13.7 53 47
Norstat 19-25 Jul 1,000 32.8 16.3 21.0 8.1 9.2 10.4 1.7 0.5 11.8 50.1 49.9
Kantar Emor 14–20 Jul 1,501 30 15 18 11 9 13 3 1[i] 12 50 49
18 Jul Kaja Kallas' second cabinet is formed by Reform, Isamaa and SDE
Norstat 12–18 Jul 1,000 33.9 18.0 16.8 10.7 8.8 8.3 1.7 1.8 15.9 33.9 66.1
Norstat 5–11 Jul 1,000 32.4 16.9 18.5 9.8 8.1 11.5 1.8 1.0 13.9 32.4 67.6
Norstat 27 Jun – 4 Jul 1,000 32.5 17.9 21.1 8.0 7.6 10.5 1.6 0.8 11.4 32.5 67.5
Norstat 14–20 Jun 1,000 34.1 16.0 22.6 7.6 5.8 9.9 2.1 1.9 11.5 34.1 65.9
Turu-uuringute AS 17 Jun[j] 600–700 31 17 18 10 8 12 1 3 13 31 55
Kantar Emor 9–14 Jun 1,537 32 15 18 9 8 15 3 0[i] 14 32 68
Norstat 7–13 Jun 1,000 35.0 16.6 21.3 8.4 6.5 9.1 1.8 0.8 13.7 35.0 65.0
Norstat 1–6 Jun 1,000 33.5 20.5 20.8 6.8 5.8 10.4 2.0 0.2 12.7 33.5 66.5
2 Jun The ministers of Kesk were dismissed
Norstat 24–30 May 1,000 34.7 16.7 19.4 6.4 7.0 13.7 0.7 1.4 15.3 52.4 47.6
Norstat 16–23 May 1,000 35.4 17.2 18.5 6.8 6.1 12.3 2.1 1.6 16.9 52.6 47.4
Kantar Emor 12–20 May 1,461 33 16 17 7 7 17 3 0[i] 16 49 51
Turu-uuringute AS 19 May[k] 600–700 32 13 19 6 8 16 2 4 13 45 55
Norstat 10–16 May 1,000 33.3 14.7 20.6 7.5 8.0 12.9 2.1 0.9 12.7 48.0 52.0
Norstat 4–9 May 1,000 35.9 16.5 19.0 5.0 7.6 13.0 2.1 0.9 16.9 52.4 47.6
Norstat 26 Apr – 2 May 1,000 30.6 19.4 23.3 4.7 7.1 12.7 0.8 1.4 7.7 50.0 50.0
Norstat 19–25 Apr 1,000 34.0 16.7 21.0 5.6 6.2 14.2 2.0 0.3 13.0 50.7 49.3
Kantar Emor 14–20 Apr 1,495 25 16 18 7 9 21 4 0[i] 4 41 59
Norstat 12–18 Apr 1,000 30.9 18.5 22.5 5.3 5.9 12.5 2.1 2.3 8.4 49.4 50.6
Turu-uuringute AS 18 Apr[l] 600–700 30 14 20 7 7 18 2 2 10 44 56
Norstat 6–11 Apr 1,000 32.1 16.0 20.8 5.7 5.9 16.6 2.1 0.8 11.3 48.1 51.9
Norstat 28 Mar – 4 Apr 1,000 29.3 16.6 21.4 4.2 6.3 19.3 2.3 0.6 7.9 45.9 54.1
Norstat 21–28 Mar 1,000 31.7 16.2 22.0 4.1 5.2 17.9 1.8 1.1 9.7 47.9 52.1
Turu-uuringute AS 19 Mar[m] 600–700 23 14 21 7 8 22 2.5 2.5 1 37 63
Norstat 14–18 Mar ≥1,000 28.0 17.6 20.6 5.1 9.3 16.5 1.6 1.3 7.4 45.6 54.4
Kantar Emor 10–16 Mar 1274 26 18 18 6 8 19 4 0[i] 7 44 56
Norstat 8–14 Mar ≥1,000 24.5 18.9 24.3 6.6 7.3 18.8 1.5 0.8 0.2 43.4 56.6
Norstat 1–7 Mar ≥1,000 31.2 13.7 18.9 5.8 8.1 19.7 1.3 1.3 11.5 44.9 55.1
24 Feb 2022 Beginning of Russian invasion of Ukraine
Norstat 22–28 Feb ≥1,000 26.5 14.9 22.6 6.3 7.7 20.4 1.0 0.6 2.9 41.4 58.6
Norstat 15–21 Feb ≥1,000 23.3 18.2 21.8 7.9 8.2 17.8 2.4 0.4 1.5 41.5 58.5
Kantar Emor 10–18 Feb 1503 20 20 20 7 9 21 4 0[i] 1 40 61
Turu-uuringute AS 18 Feb[n] 600–700 18 15 22 7 9 23 – 6 1 33 67
Norstat 8–14 Feb ≥1,000 23.1 18.6 19.5 7.2 8.1 20.9 2.1 0.5 1.2 41.7 58.3
Norstat 1–7 Feb ≥1,000 23.5 19.6 21.0 8.5 7.6 18.4 0.9 0.5 2.5 43.1 56.9
Norstat 25–31 Jan ≥1,000 18.2 23.1 27.7 6.5 5.9 16.0 2.1 0.5 4.6 41.3 58.7
Norstat 18–24 Jan ≥1,000 21.9 21.8 20.3 7.3 9.0 18.3 0.9 0.5 0.1 43.7 56.7
Kantar Emor 13–21 Jan 1220 19 20 22 9 7 20 4 1[i] 2 39 61
Turu-uuringute AS 12–17 Jan 873 18 20 24 7 8 20 – 3 4 38 62
Norstat 11–17 Jan ≥1,000 22.0 20.6 24.9 6.6 6.7 17.1 1.4 0.7 2.9 42.6 57.4
Norstat 5–10 Jan ≥1,000 24.4 18.6 23.9 5.9 8.7 15.9 1.8 0.8 0.5 43.0 57.0
Norstat 27 Dec – 4 Jan ≥1,000 27.4 21.2 20.5 6.9 6.4 15.0 1.9 0.7 6.2 48.6 51.4

2021[edit]

Polling firm Fieldwork Date Sample
size 		Ref Kesk EKRE Isamaa SDE E200 EER Others Lead Gov. Opp.
Norstat 14-20 Dec ≥1,000 24.2 22.1 19.9 7.8 5.8 16.7 1.6 1.9 2.1 46.3 53.7
Kantar Emor 9-15 Dec 1220 19 17 22 7 10 20 4 1[i] 2 36 64
Norstat 7–13 Dec ≥1,000 27.1 18.7 22.4 7.8 8.0 14.5 1.0 0.5 4.7 45.8 54.2
Norstat 1–7 Dec ≥1,000 22.3 19.2 19.5 8.3 7.7 16.0 2.4 1.1 2.8 41.5 57.4
Turu-uuringute AS 30 Nov-7 Dec 1,009 21 20 22 7 8 18 2 1 1 41 59
Norstat 23–29 Nov ≥1,000 19.8 22.3 21.3 8.2 9.3 16.0 1.3 1.8 1.0 42.1 56.1
Norstat 16–22 Nov ≥1,000 20.0 20.8 24.4 7.8 9.0 15.0 2.0 1.0 2.3 40.8 58.2
Kantar Emor 11–17 Nov 1,045 20 16 20 10 12 19 3 1[i] Tie 36 63
Norstat 9–15 Nov ≥1,000 22.0 23.6 23.0 7.3 8.7 12.8 2.0 0.6 0.6 45.6 54.8
Turu-uuringute AS 4–9 Nov 1,000 21 17 19 9 10 19 2 3 2 38 59
Norstat 2–8 Nov ≥1,000 20.5 20.5 25.5 8.0 9.4 12.7 2.7 0.8 5.0 41.0 58.2
Norstat 26 Oct–2 Nov ≥1,000 20.8 22.8 21.9 7.7 8.0 16.9 1.5 0.4 0.9 43.6 56.0
Norstat 20–25 Oct ≥1,000 22.8 20.3 24.0 8.3 7.3 14.2 1.6 1.5 1.2 43.1 55.4
Kantar Emor 14–20 Oct 1,218 23 18 21 8 10 16 4 1[i] 2 41 58
Norstat 13–18 Oct ≥1,000 23.5 18.1 26.4 9.0 8.9 11.1 1.6 1.4 2.9 41.6 57.0
Norstat 5–12 Oct ≥1,000 26.7 19.7 22.0 6.7 8.3 11.9 2.4 2.3 4.7 46.4 51.3
Turu-uuringute AS 4–8 Oct 1,000 24 19 23 7 7 13 3 4 1 43 53
Norstat 28 Sep–5 Oct ≥1,000 22.8 19.8 26.3 7.0 7.9 12.5 2.3 1.4 3.5 42.6 56.0
Norstat 22–27 Sep ≥1,000 22.9 22.3 24.6 7.9 9.0 11.1 1.5 0.7 1.7 45.2 54.1
Kantar Emor 16–21 Sep 1,060 27 16 22 6 9 16 3 1[i] 5 43 56
Norstat 14–20 Sep ≥1,000 24.1 15.4 26.1 5.9 10.1 14.0 2.0 2.4 2.0 39.5 58.1
Norstat 8–13 Sep ≥1,000 25.6 21.3 23.6 6.2 9.8 10.4 2.2 0.9 2.0 46.9 52.2
Turu-uuringute AS 6–15 Sep 1,003 24 17 22 8 7 16 3 3 2 41 56
Norstat 1–7 Sep ≥1,000 24.7 19.2 24.6 8.4 7.2 12.4 2.4 1.1 0.1 43.9 55.0
Norstat 25–31 Aug ≥1,000 28.2 17.7 22.0 7.7 7.6 13.6 2.2 1.0 6.2 45.9 53.1
Norstat 17–24 Aug ≥1,000 30.0 18.1 23.1 5.8 9.2 11.6 1.9 0.3 6.9 48.1 51.6
Kantar Emor 12–17 Aug 1,058 25 16 24 4 11 15 4 1[i] 1 41 58
Norstat 9–16 Aug ≥1,000 32.1 17.3 18.3 5.0 8.5 14.7 2.7 1.4 13.8 49.4 49.2
Turu-uuringute AS 5–13 Aug 1,000 24 17 21 5 9 16 4 4 3 41 55
Norstat 3–7 Aug ≥1,000 29.9 18.8 23.5 5.9 8.9 10.2 1.8 1.0 6.4 48.7 50.3
Norstat 27 Jul–2 Aug ≥1,000 28.8 17.8 24.8 5.8 7.6 12.1 2.3 0.8 4.0 46.6 52.6
Norstat 20–27 Jul ≥1,000 33.9 15.0 23.2 5.4 7.2 13.2 2.3 0.7 10.7 48.9 51.3
Kantar Emor 14–22 Jul 1,001 23 20 25 4 9 15 3 1[i] 2 43 56
Norstat 13–19 Jul ≥1,000 29.5 16.3 26.3 6.2 6.9 12.6 1.5 0.7 3.2 45.8 53.5
Norstat 6–12 Jul ≥1,000 28.8 17.7 24.4 6.3 7.0 12.7 0.8 2.3 4.4 46.5 51.2
Norstat 28 Jun–4 Jul ≥1,000 30.0 20.4 21.0 6.1 7.0 11.4 2.5 1.6 9.0 50.4 48.0
Norstat 15–21 Jun ≥1,000 28.7 18.9 21.1 4.7 9.2 13.5 2.1 1.8 7.6 47.6 50.6
Kantar Emor 10–16 Jun 997 25 18 20 4 13 16 2 2[o] 5.0 43 55
Norstat 8–14 Jun ≥1,000 26.6 18.8 25.5 5.6 8.5 10.9 1.7 2.4 1.1 45.4 52.2
Turu-uuringute AS 3–10 Jun 1,000 24 19 23 7 9 13 3 2 1 43 55
Norstat 1–7 Jun ≥1,000 29.6 20.5 21.1 5.2 7.0 14.0 1.5 1.1 8.5 50.1 48.8
Norstat 26–31 May ≥1,000 29.3 21.0 19.9 5.9 8.2 11.2 2.8 1.8 8.3 50.3 48.0
Norstat 19–25 May ≥1,000 31.8 17.9 20.6 5.5 7.1 13.7 2.4 1.0 11.2 49.7 49.3
Kantar Emor 12–18 May 1,050 28 16 19 7 11 16 3 2[i] 9 44 56
Norstat 12–17 May ≥1,000 32.5 18.1 21.2 4.8 7.7 13.2 1.2 1.3 11.3 50.6 48.1
Turu-uuringute AS 6–11 May 1,002 26 20 21 5 8 15 2 3 5 46 51
Norstat 4–10 May ≥1,000 30.4 18.7 20.5 4.4 8.4 15.2 1.4 1.0 9.9 49.1 49.9
Norstat 27 Apr–3 May ≥1,000 29.1 20.7 23.9 4.8 6.0 11.9 1.9 1.7 5.2 49.8 48.5
Norstat 20–26 Apr ≥1,000 33.4 22.3 15.6 5.7 6.9 12.1 1.9 2.1 11.1 55.7 42.2
Kantar Emor 15–21 Apr 1,110 27 19 21 5 8 14 3 3[p] 8 46 51
Norstat 13–19 Apr ≥1,000 29.7 19.3 17.4 5.9 6.9 16.9 2.1 1.8 10.4 49.0 49.2
Turu-uuringute AS 8–14 Apr 1,010 27 19 23 5 7 13 2 3 4 46 51
Norstat 7–12 Apr ≥1,000 30.5 17.3 21.2 5.7 8.2 13.5 1.6 2.0 9.3 47.8 50.2
Norstat 30 Mar–5 Apr ≥1,000 34.4 20.1 19.6 5.1 6.3 10.9 1.7 1.9 14.3 54.5 43.6
Norstat 23–29 Mar ≥1,000 35.2 20.7 18.2 5.4 5.7 12.4 1.9 0.5 14.5 55.9 43.6
Norstat 17–22 Mar ≥1,000 33.3 19.4 17.7 6.6 6.6 12.2 2.5 1.7 13.9 52.7 45.6
Turu-uuringute AS 9–15 Mar 1,005 26 20 19 6 9 15 3 2 6 46 52
Norstat 10–15 Mar ≥1,000 31.5 23 20.5 4.7 6.2 10.1 2 1.6 8.5 54.5 43.5
Kantar Emor 11–16 Mar 1,114 28 18 19 5 9 16 4 1[i] 9 46 53
Norstat 2–8 Mar ≥1,000 36.7 17 20.3 6.2 5.3 10.5 2.9 1.1 16.4 53.7 45.2
Norstat 23 Feb–1 Mar ≥1,000 35.4 18.8 20.5 4.9 6.2 11.2 1.9 1.1 14.9 54.2 44.7
Norstat 16–22 Feb ≥1,000 35.3 19.3 18.1 5.4 6.1 12.5 2.1 1.2 16 54.6 44.2
Turu-uuringute AS 10–15 Feb 1,005 28 17 20 6 7 16 2 4 8 45 51
Kantar Emor 11–15 Feb 1,124 30 17 20 5 9 15 2 2[q] 10 47 51
Norstat 9–15 Feb ≥1,000 35.2 15.5 20.2 4.8 7.6 13.7 1.9 1.1 15 50.7 48.2
Norstat 2–8 Feb ≥1,000 34.6 20.7 19.1 6.1 5 11.7 1.6 1.2 13.9 55.3 41.9
Norstat 26 Jan–1 Feb ≥1,000 32.3 18.6 17.1 5.1 7.7 15.4 2.5 1.3 13.7 50.9 47.8
26 Jan Kaja Kallas' first cabinet is formed by Reform and Kesk
Norstat 18–25 Jan ≥1,000 31.6 20.7 19.2 5.2 5.1 15.0 2.4 0.8 10.9 45.1 54.1
Turu-uuringute AS 12–21 Jan 1008 27 20 17 6 8 14 3 5 7 43 57
Norstat 12–18 Jan ≥1,000 28.7 21.8 16.3 7.0 7.5 14.2 2.7 1.8 6.9 45.1 53.1
Kantar Emor 14–19 Jan 1,219 27 19 14 8 9 17 4 1[i] 8 41 58
14 Jan Jüri Ratas' second cabinet is dissolved
Norstat 5–11 Jan ≥1,000 29.5 20.9 15.1 5.2 8.7 15.2 1.9 3.5 8.6 41.2 55.3
Norstat 29 Dec–4 Jan ≥1,000 29.6 22.1 14.7 5.5 8.8 15.2 2.0 2.1 7.5 42.3 55.6

2020[edit]

Polling firm Fieldwork Date Sample
size 		Ref Kesk EKRE I SDE E200 Green TULE Others Lead Gov. Opp.
Norstat 16–21 Dec ≥1,000 28.1 20.9 15.9 7.4 6.4 17.3 2.1 — 1.9 7.2 44.2 53.9
Norstat 9–14 Dec ≥1,000 26.4 21.5 14.2 5.9 8.6 18.1 3.1 — 2.2 4.9 41.6 56.2
Kantar Emor 3–9 Dec 1,151 27 16 17 7 9 18 5 1 — 9 40 60
Norstat 1–7 Dec ≥1,000 31.2 21.4 13.2 5.5 8.1 15.4 1.7 — 3.5 9.8 40.1 59.9
Turu-uuringute AS 27 Nov–7 Dec 881 21 25 14 5 9 20 3 1 2 4 44 54
Norstat 24–30 Nov ≥1,000 28.8 22.8 14.7 4.9 6.6 15.3 3.6 1.1 2.2 6.0 42.4 55.4
Norstat 17–23 Nov ≥1,000 29.6 21.0 13.1 6.5 9.4 14.8 3.0 0.4 2.2 8.6 40.6 57.2
Kantar Emor 13–18 Nov 1,281 28 17 16 6 10 18 3 2 — 10 39 61
Norstat 11–16 Nov ≥1,000 33.7 19.6 14.6 6.0 8.3 13.4 2.3 0.6 1.5 14.1 40.2 58.3
Norstat 3–9 Nov ≥1,000 29.7 24.5 16.5 4.5 9.1 11.4 2.9 0.4 1.0 5.2 45.5 53.5
Turu-uuringute AS 30 Oct–9 Nov 854 23 24 15 6 10 13 4 1 4 1 45 51
Norstat 27 Oct–2 Nov ≥1,000 31.5 21.0 18.2 4.9 7.2 10.1 2.5 0.3 4.3 10.5 44.1 51.6
Norstat 22–26 Oct ≥1,000 35.1 20.3 14.2 6.9 8.6 8.9 3.1 0.6 2.3 14.8 41.4 56.3
Norstat 14–20 Oct ≥1,000 29.4 25.0 17.2 6.1 9.1 9.3 2.1 0.6 1.2 4.4 48.3 50.5
Turu-uuringute AS 1–15 Oct 873 26 27 18 5 9 7 3 1 4 1 50 45
Kantar Emor 8–14 Oct 1,268 33 17 15 5 11 13 3 2 1 16 37 62
Norstat 6–13 Oct ≥1,000 32.2 22.3 18.1 4.4 9.0 7.7 3.5 0.6 2.2 9.9 44.8 53.0
Norstat 28 Sep–5 Oct ≥1,000 35.1 21.2 15.7 5.7 9.6 8.1 2.2 1.4 1.0 13.9 42.6 56.4
Norstat 23–28 Sep ≥1,000 31.4 22.8 17.0 4.2 12.1 5.8 3.0 0.5 3.3 8.6 44 52.7
Kantar Emor 17–23 Sep 1,089 32 18 13 6 12 13 3 2 1 14 37 62
Norstat 15–21 Sep ≥1,000 34.7 21.6 14.3 4.8 8.2 8.1 3.2 1.4 3.7 13.1 40.7 55.6
Turu-uuringute AS 07–17 Sep 1,010 27 24 16 5 11 9 3 3 — 3 45 55
Norstat 9–15 Sep ≥1,000 32.5 22.5 13.8 5.8 9.1 9.7 2.5 1.4 2.7 10.0 42.1 55.2
Norstat 2–9 Sep ≥1,000 33.3 26.2 15.5 4.6 8.3 8.4 2.0 0.8 0.9 7.1 46.3 52.8
Norstat 25–31 Aug ≥1,000 33.0 24.5 16.2 4.0 8.8 7.6 3.3 1.2 1.4 8.5 44.7 53.9
20 Aug The Biodiversity Party and the Estonian Free Party merge to form the Estonian Party of the Future
Polling firm Fieldwork Date Sample
size 		Ref Kesk EKRE I SDE E200 Green EVA Others Lead Gov. Opp.
Norstat 17–25 Aug ≥1,000 35.5 20.9 16.1 5.8 6.7 9.9 1.3 0.7 3.1 14.6 42.8 54.1
Turu-uuringute AS 12–24 Aug 1,003 23 26 20 5 10 9 2 0 1 3 51 48
Kantar Emor 13–19 Aug 1,268 30 17 17 5 13 14 2 1 3 13 39 58
Norstat 10–17 Aug ≥1,000 33.0 22.9 15.4 6.1 9.8 7.9 2.3 0.6 2.0 7.1 44.4 53.6
Norstat 4–10 Aug ≥1,000 32.1 19.4 19.0 6.2 8.4 9.4 1.2 1.1 3.2 12.7 44.6 52.2
Norstat 27 Jul–3 Aug ≥1,000 33.0 22.5 18.4 5.9 8.8 6.8 2.6 0.9 1.1 10.5 46.8 52.1
Norstat 21–28 Jul ≥1,000 31.2 24.1 18.6 6.4 8.7 6.8 2.2 0.6 1.4 7.1 49.1 49.5
Kantar Emor 16–22 Jul 1,125 31 17 18 6 9 14 3 0 2 13 41 57
Norstat 14–20 Jul ≥1,000 34.0 23.5 16.8 5.6 8.7 6.9 2.3 0.3 1.9 10.5 45.9 52.2
Norstat 7–13 Jul ≥1,000 32.3 23.2 15.8 4.4 10.2 7.5 2.2 0.4 4.0 9.1 43.4 52.6
Norstat 29 Jun–6 Jul ≥1,000 32.1 22.9 14.8 6.1 9.2 9.6 2.5 0.6 2.2 9.2 43.8 54
Norstat 16–22 Jun ≥1,000 30.3 26.1 16.0 5.9 9.3 9.2 1.3 0.9 1.2 4.2 48 51
Norstat 9–16 Jun ≥1,000 31.7 27.0 16.3 5.9 7.6 7.4 2.4 0.4 1.3 4.7 49.2 49.5
Turu-uuringute AS 9–15 Jun 1,004 33 27 16 3 8 9 2 0 1 6 46 55
Kantar Emor Jun 1,268 28 19 19 5 10 13 3 0 3 9 43 54
Norstat 1–8 Jun ≥1,000 30.3 22.8 20.3 4.7 7.6 7.2 3.4 0.4 3.3 7.5 47.8 48.9
Norstat 25 May–1 Jun ≥1,000 30.8 24.5 16.7 5.6 9.3 7.7 1.4 0.3 3.7 6.3 46.8 49.5
Norstat 18–25 May ≥1,000 32.4 27.1 12.4 6.3 7.4 7.3 3.8 0.4 2.9 5.3 45.8 51.3
Kantar Emor 14–20 May 1,268 24 20 22 4 12 14 2 0 2 2 46 52
Norstat 12–18 May ≥1,000 30.8 26.0 16.7 4.6 7.3 8.5 2.0 1.1 3.0 4.8 47.3 49.7
Turu-uuringute AS 7–15 May 1,004 30 27 15 6 7 8 2 0 1 3 48 51
Norstat 06–12 May ≥1,000 29.1 25.0 18.0 5.9 8.3 8.2 2.3 0.2 3.8 4.1 48.9 48.3
Norstat 24 Apr–5 May ≥1,000 29.8 23.8 19.2 4.6 9.3 8.6 2.7 0.8 1.2 6.0 47.6 51.2
Norstat 21–27 Apr ≥1,000 29.3 27.8 18.1 5.3 8.1 6.2 2.1 0.7 3.0 1.5 51.2 45.8
Kantar Emor 20–22 Apr 1,280 30 18 19 4 10 14 3 2 3 12 42 55
Norstat 15–20 Apr ≥1,000 34.6 22.3 18.1 5.2 8.2 6.5 2.3 0.2 2.4 12.3 45.6 52.0
Norstat 7–14 Apr ≥1,000 32.9 23.5 16.3 6.3 8.0 8.4 1.8 0.4 2.4 9.4 46.1 51.5
Turu-uuringute AS 6–7 Apr 1,000 27 24 17 7 8 11 2 1 3 3 48 49
Norstat 31 Mar–6 Apr ≥1,000 33.5 25.7 14.1 5.1 7.6 8.0 2.1 0.7 3.2 7.8 44.9 51.9
Norstat 24–30 Mar ≥1,000 29.7 30.4 15.9 4.1 6.8 7.7 2.2 0.5 2.7 0.7 50.4 46.9
Norstat 18–23 Mar ≥1,000 29.6 26.1 16.9 5.4 8.6 7.2 3.2 0.3 2.7 3.5 48.4 48.9
Kantar Emor 12–18 Mar 1,118 29 17 21 4 12 13 3 − 2 8 42 56
Norstat 10–16 Mar ≥1,000 30.7 26.2 16.5 6.3 7.2 9.4 1.8 0.2 1.7 4.5 49.0 49.7
Turu-uuringute AS 6–16 Mar 1,056 26 22 20 6 9 12 3 1 1 4 48 51
Norstat 04–9 Mar ≥1,000 29.5 21.6 16.9 6.1 10.5 8.9 2.8 0.5 3.2 7.9 44.6 52.2
Norstat 26 Feb–2 Mar ≥1,000 33.2 24.2 16.3 5.8 7.0 6.6 2.5 0.7 3.3 9.0 46.3 50.4
Norstat 19–26 Feb ≥1,000 33.2 19.3 18.4 6.9 10.2 7.5 2.1 0.5 1.9 13.9 44.6 53.5
Kantar Emor 1–22 Feb — 31 18 17 4 12 14 3 − 1 13 39 60
Norstat 13–18 Feb ≥1,000 30.9 22.4 18.0 6.0 7.9 9.8 3.0 0.7 1.3 8.5 46.4 52.3
Turu-uuringute AS 6–17 Feb 808 25 24 16 5 10 9 2 − 1 1 45 54
Norstat 04–11 Feb ≥1,000 33.8 20.0 17.5 7.3 6.7 9.2 3.3 0.5 1.8 13.8 44.8 53.4
Norstat 28 Jan–3 Feb ≥1,000 35.1 20.8 15.6 5.9 10.2 8.5 2.7 0.3 1.0 14.3 42.3 56.7
Norstat 23–27 Jan ≥1,000 35.9 19.3 12.7 6.0 10.7 8.5 4.1 0.4 2.4 16.6 38.0 59.6
Kantar Emor 1–31 Jan — 30 17 16 8 14 9 3 1 2 13 41 57
Turu-uuringute AS 17–27 Jan 808 25 24 18 7 10 8 3 1 1 1 49 50
Norstat 16–24 Jan ≥1,000 35.0 22.8 14.6 5.6 9.3 7.2 2.9 1.1 1.4 12.2 43.0 55.6
Norstat 8–14 Jan ≥1,000 32.2 24.3 12.9 8.4 8.5 7.0 3.5 0.6 2.2 7.9 45.6 52.2
Norstat 3–7 Jan ≥1,000 34.1 23.6 15.8 6.3 8.2 7.3 2.6 0.6 1.5 10.5 45.7 52.8

2019[edit]

Polling firm Fieldwork Date Sample
size 		Ref Kesk EKRE I SDE E200 Green EVA Others Lead Gov. Opp.
Norstat 18–23 Dec ≥1,000 30.3 22.0 16.1 5.9 11.9 7.2 3.4 0.9 2.4 8.3 44.0 53.6
Norstat 11–17 Dec ≥1,000 34.3 22.5 13.5 5.4 11.8 6.8 3.2 0.1 2.4 11.8 41.4 56.2
Kantar Emor 5–12 Dec 1,407 34.8 17.9 15.6 6.3 13.7 7.7 2 — 2 9.2 39.8 58.2
Norstat 2–9 Dec ≥1,000 35.4 21.1 16.3 6.0 9.0 6.6 3.2 0.4 1.9 14.3 43.4 54.7
Turu-uuringute AS 28 Nov–9 Dec 1,014 29 25 17 5 10 5 3 1 5 4 47 48
Norstat 25–29 Nov ≥1,000 36.4 23.5 11.9 8.1 10.4 2.9 3.8 0.5 2.3 12.9 43.5 53.6
Norstat 18–25 Nov ≥1,000 36.1 24.0 12.2 6.8 9.8 5.0 3.5 0.5 2.1 12.1 43.0 54.9
Norstat 11–15 Nov ≥1,000 35.4 26.1 12.6 7.2 9.5 3.8 1.7 0.1 3.8 9.3 45.9 50.3
Kantar Emor 7–13 Nov 1,407 27.7 16.2 18.5 6.2 16.2 9.5 4 1 1.7 9.2 40.9 57.4
Turu-uuringute AS 31 Oct–12 Nov 1,019 30 23 17 5 11 7 2 1 1 7 45.0 54
Norstat 5–11 Nov ≥1,000 32.6 24.3 17.5 6.5 10.9 3.4 3.5 0.2 1.0 8.3 48.3 50.7
Norstat 28 Oct–5 Nov ≥1,000 36.2 22.9 15.8 5.8 8.2 5.0 3.2 0.8 1.8 13.3 44.5 53.7
Norstat 22–28 Oct ≥1,000 36.1 23.4 17.7 5.5 6.3 5.1 2.9 0.6 2.0 12.7 46.6 51.4
Norstat 15–21 Oct ≥1,000 36.3 23.4 15.6 6.6 7.4 4.5 2.7 0.3 2.9 14.9 45.6 51.5
Kantar Emor 10–16 Oct 1,182 32.5 17.6 16.6 6.2 12.4 9.4 2.9 — 1.7 14.9 40.4 57.9
Norstat 9–14 Oct ≥1,000 30.7 25.8 17.6 7.1 8.3 5.6 2.3 0.4 1.4 4.9 50.5 48.1
Turu-uuringute AS 3–13 Oct 1,040 32 22 17 6 9 7 3 1 — 10 45.0 54.0
Norstat 1–8 Oct ≥1,000 35.6 22.2 15.2 6.5 9.2 6.1 2.4 0.6 2.1 13.4 43.9 54.0
Norstat 25–30 Sep ≥1,000 32.7 24.3 15.6 7.4 8.3 6.2 2.8 0.6 2.1 8.4 47.3 50.6
Norstat 18–23 Sep ≥1,000 37.1 20.7 18.3 5.4 8.6 4.2 3.4 0.6 1.8 17.0 44.4 53.8
Kantar Emor 11–19 Sep 1,161 32.8 16.5 18.4 7.0 11.0 7.5 5 — 1 14.4 41.9 57.5
Norstat 10–17 Sep ≥1,000 33.5 24.0 17.0 7.2 6.4 5.2 3.7 0.1 2.3 13.5 48.2 49.5
Turu-uuringute AS 5–16 Sep 1,040 32 21 19 6 9 5 2 1 1 11 45.0 53.0
Norstat 3–9 Sep ≥1,000 33.9 23.7 15.1 7.8 9.1 5.0 2.6 0.6 2.1 10.2 46.6 50.8
Norstat 27 Aug–2 Sep ≥1,000 35.9 24.6 14.8 6.5 9.3 4.8 1.3 0.2 2.6 11.3 45.9 51.5
Norstat 21–26 Aug ≥1,000 34.3 23.7 15.2 6.2 9.0 4.5 2.6 0.8 3.6 10.6 45.1 51.3
Kantar Emor 15–21 Aug 1,161 36.8 16.0 17.6 4.8 13.0 6.9 — — — 19.2 43.3 56.7
Turu-uuringute AS 9–20 Aug 1,000 34 22 16 7 8 5 3 1 1 12 45.0 54.0
Norstat 13–19 Aug ≥1,000 33.9 23.0 16.9 7.1 10.9 4.1 1.8 0.7 1.7 10.9 47.0 51.7
Norstat 5–12 Aug ≥1,000 33.5 22.0 16.4 9.1 10.0 3.5 3.9 0.3 1.1 11.5 47.5 51.2
Norstat 30 Jul–5 Aug ≥1,000 41.0 18.9 12.7 8.8 8.1 4.2 2.8 0.8 3.0 22.1 40.1 56.9
Norstat 22–30 Jul ≥1,000 36.2 17.8 17.7 7.1 12.0 4.0 1.9 0.6 2.6 18.4 42.6 54.8
Kantar Emor 18–24 Jul 1,305 34.5 15.3 19.4 6.8 10.8 7.9 — — — 15.1 41.5 53.2
Norstat 15–22 Jul ≥1,000 39.1 18.3 16.6 7.7 7.6 4.4 2.7 0.2 3.6 20.8 42.6 54.0
Norstat 8–15 Jul ≥1,000 37.7 16.4 15.8 11.0 8.7 4.0 2.7 1.1 2.7 21.3 43.2 54.2
Norstat 2–8 Jul ≥1,000 31.9 22.3 18.0 8.2 11.0 4.3 2.5 0.9 1.0 9.6 48.5 50.6
Norstat 26 Jun–1 Jul ≥1,000 34.3 20.8 17.5 9.2 9.8 5.3 2.1 0.2 0.7 13.5 47.5 51.7
Norstat 11–19 Jun ≥1,000 37.7 20.2 15.2 5.6 13.6 4.0 1.7 0.3 1.6 17.5 41.0 57.3
Kantar Emor 6–13 Jun 1,129 36.0 14.7 16.7 6.9 12.8 8.3 3.0 0 1.0 19.3 38.3 60.1
Norstat 4–11 Jun ≥1,000 30.3 21.4 19.1 8.7 9.4 5.8 2.6 1.4 1.0 8.9 49.2 49.5
Turu-uuringute AS 28 May–10 Jun 1,000 32 19 18 9 11 4 1 1 1 13 46 49
Norstat 27 May–3 Jun ≥1,000 30 23 19 8 12 3 3 0 1 7 50 48
Norstat 20–27 May ≥1,000 33.0 19.5 16.8 10.4 11.7 4.6 2.4 0.4 1.1 13.5 46.7 52.1
26 May 2019 European Parliament election in Estonia
Kantar Emor 20–23 May 1,390 30.6 14.7 15.0 7.9 12.1 11.8 — — — 15.6 37.6 54.4
Norstat 14–20 May ≥1,000 28.6 21.5 22.0 8.8 9.4 5.3 2.2 0.7 1.5 6.6 52.3 46.2
Turu-uuringute AS 2–15 May 2,037 27 20 17 10 10 8 3 1 1 7 47 49
Norstat 6–13 May ≥1,000 31.8 19.4 16.2 8.0 12.2 5.1 4.5 0.3 2.0 12.4 43.6 53.9
Kantar Emor 7–9 May 1,271 33.5 15.3 16.9 6.1 12.9 11.5 - 3.8 16.6 38.3 57.9
Norstat 29 Apr–7 May ≥1,000 35.6 19.9 15.0 8.3 10.8 6.0 2.5 0.5 1.6 15.7 43.2 55.4
Norstat 22–29 Apr ≥1,000 33.6 18.5 19.1 7.6 8.5 7.2 3.4 0.3 1.9 14.5 45.2 53.0
24 Apr Jüri Ratas' second cabinet is formed by Kesk, EKRE and Isamaa.
Norstat 15–22 Apr ≥1,000 32 20.1 20.1 9.2 8.4 5.4 2.6 0.7 0.7 11.9 49.4 49.1
Kantar Emor 10–15 Apr 1,000 32.3 17 15.4 8.5 11.4 10.3 2.7 1.1 - 15.3 40.9 57.8
Norstat 8–15 Apr 1,000 34.6 19.4 18 7.3 10.1 5.9 2.5 0.3 1.6 16 44.7 53.4
Norstat 18 Mar–15 Apr 4,014 33.0 20.6 17.9 9.4 9.2 5.8 2.3 – 1.8 12.4 47.9 50.3
Norstat 1–8 Apr 1,000 33.4 22.5 14.8 11.6 8.0 4.8 3.0 0.5 1.3 10.9 48.9 49.7
Norstat 25–29 Mar 1,000 32.5 20.5 19.1 9.0 10.1 5.5 1.7 0.6 1.0 12.0 48.6 50.4
Norstat 18–24 Mar 1,000 31.9 19.5 18.8 8.9 9.3 7.2 2.1 0.9 1.5 12.4 47.2 51.4
Kantar Emor 14–21 Mar 1,214 32 17 18 7 11 10 3 0.3 1.7 14.0 42.0 56.3
Turu-uuringute AS 5–18 Mar 1,004 27 24 21 11 9 5 1 1 1 3.0 56.0 43.0
Norstat 11–15 Mar 1,000 36.9 19.4 12.6 11.2 9.0 6.5 1.7 0.6 2.1 17.5 43.2 54.7
Kantar Emor 12–13 Mar 752 30 19.4 18.1 7.3 12.5 8.5 1.7 0.6 2.2 10.6 44.8 53.3
Norstat 5–11 Mar 1,000 31.9 21.2 18.1 11.4 9.1 4.4 1.7 1.1 1.2 10.7 50.7 48.2
Election Results 3 Mar N/A 28.9 23.1 17.8 11.4 9.8 4.4 1.8 1.2 1.6 5.7 52.3 46.1
34 26 19 12 10 0 0 0 8.0 57 44

Notes[edit]

  1. ^ a b calculated numbers
  2. ^ Independents 2%, Others (only EÜVP) 1%
  3. ^ Publication date
  4. ^ Publication date
  5. ^ Publication date
  6. ^ Publication date
  7. ^ Publication date
  8. ^ Publication date
  9. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q TULE
  10. ^ Publication date
  11. ^ Publication date
  12. ^ Publication date
  13. ^ Publication date
  14. ^ Publication date
  15. ^ TULE 1%
  16. ^ TULE 2%
  17. ^ TULE 1%

References[edit]

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