2023 Nigerian presidential election in Niger State

2023 Nigerian presidential election in Niger State
Registered	2,698,344
President before election; Muhammadu Buhari; APC	Elected President ; TBD;

The 2023 Nigerian presidential election in Niger State will be held on 25 February 2023 as part of the nationwide 2023 Nigerian presidential election to elect the president and vice president of Nigeria.^[1] Other federal elections, including elections to the House of Representatives and the Senate, will also be held on the same date while state elections will be held two weeks afterward on 11 March.

Background[edit]

Niger State is a large, diverse state in the North Central with agricultural and energy potential but facing a debilitated health sector and intense challenges in security as the nationwide kidnapping epidemic, bandit conflict, and herder–farmer clashes have all heavily affected the state with added fears of ISWAP encroachment.^[2]^[3]

Politically, the state's 2019 elections were a solidification of the control of the state APC. In federal elections, Buhari retained the state presidentially while the APC swept all three senate seats and ten House of Representatives seats. On the state level, the party also held the governorship and kept the majority in the House of Assembly.

Polling[edit]

Polling organisation/client	Fieldwork date	Sample size					Others	Undecided	Undisclosed	Not voting
			Tinubu APC	Obi LP	Kwankwaso NNPP	Abubakar PDP

BantuPage	December 2022	N/A	17%	25%	6%	13%	–	21%	7%	11%
Nextier (Niger crosstabs of national poll)	27 January 2023	N/A	26.1%	4.5%	2.3%	55.7%	3.4%	8.0%	–	–
SBM Intelligence for EiE (Niger crosstabs of national poll)	22 January-6 February 2023	N/A	13%	14%	3%	47%	1%	21%	–	–

Projections[edit]

Source	Projection		As of
Africa Elects^[a]^[4]	Tossup		24 February 2023
Dataphyte^[b]^[5]
	Tinubu:	47.59%	11 February 2023
	Obi:	16.94%
	Abubakar:	20.88%
	Others:	14.58%
Enough is Enough- SBM Intelligence^[c]^[6]	Abubakar		17 February 2023
SBM Intelligence^[d]^[7]	Tinubu		15 December 2022
ThisDay^[e]^[8]
	Tinubu:	35%	27 December 2022
	Obi:	10%
	Kwankwaso:	10%
	Abubakar:	35%
	Others/Undecided:	10%
The Nation^[f]^[9]^[10]	Tinubu		12-19 February 2023

General election[edit]

Results[edit]

2023 Nigerian presidential election in Niger State
Party		Candidate	%
	A	Christopher Imumolen
	AA	Hamza al-Mustapha
	ADP	Yabagi Sani
	APP	Osita Nnadi
	AAC	Omoyele Sowore
	ADC	Dumebi Kachikwu
	APC	Bola Tinubu
	APGA	Peter Umeadi
	APM	Princess Chichi Ojei
	BP	Sunday Adenuga
	LP	Peter Obi
	NRM	Felix Johnson Osakwe
	New Nigeria Peoples Party	Rabiu Kwankwaso
	PRP	Kola Abiola
	PDP	Atiku Abubakar
	SDP	Adewole Adebayo
	YPP	Malik Ado-Ibrahim
	ZLP	Dan Nwanyanwu
Total votes			100.00%
Invalid or blank votes			N/A
Turnout

By senatorial district[edit]

The results of the election by senatorial district.

Senatorial District	Bola Tinubu APC		Atiku Abubakar PDP		Peter Obi LP		Rabiu Kwankwaso NNPP		Others		Total valid votes
									Others
	Votes	%	Votes	%	Votes	%	Votes	%	Votes	%
Niger East Senatorial District^[g]	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD
Niger North Senatorial District^[h]	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD
Niger South Senatorial District^[i]	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD
Totals	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD

By federal constituency[edit]

The results of the election by federal constituency.

Federal Constituency	Bola Tinubu APC		Atiku Abubakar PDP		Peter Obi LP		Rabiu Kwankwaso NNPP		Others		Total valid votes
									Others
	Votes	%	Votes	%	Votes	%	Votes	%	Votes	%
Agaie/Lapai Federal Constituency^[j]	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD
Agwara/Borgu Federal Constituency^[k]	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD
Bida/Gbako/Katcha Federal Constituency^[l]	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD
Bosso/Paikoro Federal Constituency^[m]	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD
Chanchaga Federal Constituency^[n]	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD
Gurara/Suleja/Tafa Federal Constituency^[o]	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD
Kontagora/Wushishi/Mariga/Mashegu Federal Constituency^[p]	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD
Lavun/Mokwa/Edati Federal Constituency^[q]	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD
Magama/Rijau Federal Constituency^[r]	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD
Shiroro/Rafi/Munya Federal Constituency^[s]	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD
Totals	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD

By local government area[edit]

The results of the election by local government area.

Local government area	Bola Tinubu APC		Atiku Abubakar PDP		Peter Obi LP		Rabiu Kwankwaso NNPP		Others		Total valid votes	Turnout (%)
									Others
	Votes	%	Votes	%	Votes	%	Votes	%	Votes	%
Agaie	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Agwara	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Bida	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Borgu	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Bosso	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Chanchaga	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Edati	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Gbako	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Gurara	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Katcha	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Kontagora	20,032	48.00%	14,248	34.14%	2,832	6.78%	3,847	9.22%	776	1.86%	41,735	31.73%
Lapai	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Lavun	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Magama	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Mariga	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Mashegu	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Mokwa	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Munya	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Paikoro	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Rafi	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Rijau	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Shiroro	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Suleja	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Tafa	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Wushishi	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Totals	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%

Notes[edit]

^ Africa Elects projections predict the likelihood of a candidate winning a state by categorizing a state as "Safe" for exceedingly likely, "Likely" for somewhat likely, and "Lean" for least likely. If no clear determination could be made, states are categorized as "tossups".
^ Dataphyte projections predict candidates' projected votal shares in each state.
^ EiE-SBM projections predict which candidates will win states.
^ SBM projections predict which candidates will win states or, if no determination could be made, categorizes states as "Too close to call" (TCC).
^ ThisDay projections predict candidates' projected votal shares in each state.
^ The Nation projections predict which candidates will win states or, if no determination could be made, categorizes states as "Battlegrounds."
^ Comprising the local government areas of Bosso, Chanchaga, Munya, Paikoro, Rafi, Shiroro, Suleja, Tafa, and Gurara.
^ Comprising the local government areas of Agwara, Borgu, Kontagora, Magama, Mariga, Mashegu, Rijau, and Wushishi.
^ Comprising the local government areas of Agaie, Bida, Edati, Gbako, Katcha, Lapai, Lavun, and Mokwa.
^ Comprising the local government areas of Agaie and Lapai.
^ Comprising the local government areas of Agwara and Borgu.
^ Comprising the local government areas of Bida, Gbako, and Katcha.
^ Comprising the local government areas of Bosso and Paikoro.
^ Comprising the local government area of Chanchaga.
^ Comprising the local government areas of Gurara, Suleja, and Tafa.
^ Comprising the local government areas of Kontagora, Mashegu, Mariga, and Wushishi.
^ Comprising the local government areas of Edati, Lavun, and Mokwa.
^ Comprising the local government areas of Magama and Rijau.
^ Comprising the local government areas of Munya, Rafi, and Shiroro.

References[edit]

^ Jimoh, Abbas (26 February 2022). "INEC Sets New Dates For 2023 General Elections". Daily Trust. Retrieved 26 February 2022.
^ "Bandits Occupy 12 Of 25 Local Government Areas In Niger State, Governor Laments". Sahara Reporters. Retrieved 28 April 2022.
^ Olaniyi, Muideen (18 January 2022). "Sani Bello: Niger Has Recorded 50 Attacks, Lost 220 Lives In January Alone". Daily Trust. Retrieved 28 April 2022.
^ Elimian, Adrian. "Nigerian Presidential Election: State Ratings". Africa Elects. Retrieved 25 February 2023.
^ "President Tinubu: Predilections and Predictions". Substack. Dataphyte. Retrieved 11 February 2023.
^ "The EiE-SBM 2023 Election forecast: It all hinges on insecurity and turnout". SBM Intelligence. 17 February 2023. Retrieved 19 February 2023.
^ "Projection: 2023 presidential elections". SBM Intelligence. 15 December 2022. Retrieved 27 December 2022.
^ "THISDAY 2023 Election Centre: Why Presidential Run off is Increasingly Likely". ThisDay. 27 December 2022. Retrieved 27 December 2022.
^ Oladesu, Emmanuel; Alli, Yusuf; O’neil, Shola; Onu, Nwanosike; Odiegwu, Mike; Adeyemi, Kolade; Ihyongo, Fanen; Adenuga, David; Emmanuel, Uja; Alabelewe, AbdulGafar; Shittu, Sola; Asishana, Justina; Duku, Joel; Oota, Linus; Okezie, Augustine; Alao, Onimisi; Onogu, Sanni; Jimoh, Adekunle; Odufowokan, 'Dare; Adedeji, Toba; Ibrahim, Rasaq; Oladele, Bisi; Otabor, Osagie; Okungbowa, Aiwerie; Nsa, Gil; Anioke, Ogo; Duruihuoma, Damian; Njoku, Chris; Nwankwo, Sunny (12 February 2023). "Who wins 2023 presidential election?". The Nation. Retrieved 19 February 2023.
^ Oladesu, Emmanuel; Alli, Yusuf; O’neil, Shola; Onu, Nwanosike; Odiegwu, Mike; Adeyemi, Kolade; Ihyongo, Fanen; Adenuga, David; Emmanuel, Uja; Alabelewe, AbdulGafar; Shittu, Sola; Asishana, Justina; Duku, Joel; Oota, Linus; Okezie, Augustine; Alao, Onimisi; Onogu, Sanni; Jimoh, Adekunle; Odufowokan, 'Dare; Adedeji, Toba; Ibrahim, Rasaq; Oladele, Bisi; Otabor, Osagie; Okungbowa, Aiwerie; Nsa, Gil; Anioke, Ogo; Duruihuoma, Damian; Njoku, Chris; Nwankwo, Sunny (19 February 2023). "WHO WINS 2023 PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION? | The Nation Newspaper". The Nation Newspaper. Retrieved 19 February 2023.

[4] Africa Elects projections predict the likelihood of a candidate winning a state by categorizing a state as "Safe" for exceedingly likely, "Likely" for somewhat likely, and "Lean" for least likely. If no clear determination could be made, states are categorized as "tossups".

[6] Dataphyte projections predict candidates' projected votal shares in each state.

[8] EiE-SBM projections predict which candidates will win states.

[10] SBM projections predict which candidates will win states or, if no determination could be made, categorizes states as "Too close to call" (TCC).

[12] ThisDay projections predict candidates' projected votal shares in each state.

[14] The Nation projections predict which candidates will win states or, if no determination could be made, categorizes states as "Battlegrounds."

[17] Comprising the local government areas of Bosso, Chanchaga, Munya, Paikoro, Rafi, Shiroro, Suleja, Tafa, and Gurara.

[18] Comprising the local government areas of Agwara, Borgu, Kontagora, Magama, Mariga, Mashegu, Rijau, and Wushishi.

[19] Comprising the local government areas of Agaie, Bida, Edati, Gbako, Katcha, Lapai, Lavun, and Mokwa.

[20] Comprising the local government areas of Agaie and Lapai.

[21] Comprising the local government areas of Agwara and Borgu.

[22] Comprising the local government areas of Bida, Gbako, and Katcha.

[23] Comprising the local government areas of Bosso and Paikoro.

[24] Comprising the local government area of Chanchaga.

[25] Comprising the local government areas of Gurara, Suleja, and Tafa.

[26] Comprising the local government areas of Kontagora, Mashegu, Mariga, and Wushishi.

[27] Comprising the local government areas of Edati, Lavun, and Mokwa.

[28] Comprising the local government areas of Magama and Rijau.

[29] Comprising the local government areas of Munya, Rafi, and Shiroro.

[New_Dates-1] Jimoh, Abbas (26 February 2022). "INEC Sets New Dates For 2023 General Elections". Daily Trust. Retrieved 26 February 2022.

[2] "Bandits Occupy 12 Of 25 Local Government Areas In Niger State, Governor Laments". Sahara Reporters. Retrieved 28 April 2022.

[3] Olaniyi, Muideen (18 January 2022). "Sani Bello: Niger Has Recorded 50 Attacks, Lost 220 Lives In January Alone". Daily Trust. Retrieved 28 April 2022.

[Africa_Elects_state_ratings-5] Elimian, Adrian. "Nigerian Presidential Election: State Ratings". Africa Elects. Retrieved 25 February 2023.

[Dataphyte_February_projections-7] "President Tinubu: Predilections and Predictions". Substack. Dataphyte. Retrieved 11 February 2023.

[EiE-SBM_February_projections-9] "The EiE-SBM 2023 Election forecast: It all hinges on insecurity and turnout". SBM Intelligence. 17 February 2023. Retrieved 19 February 2023.

[11] "Projection: 2023 presidential elections". SBM Intelligence. 15 December 2022. Retrieved 27 December 2022.

[ThisDay_December_projections-13] "THISDAY 2023 Election Centre: Why Presidential Run off is Increasingly Likely". ThisDay. 27 December 2022. Retrieved 27 December 2022.

[TN_February_projections-15] Oladesu, Emmanuel; Alli, Yusuf; O’neil, Shola; Onu, Nwanosike; Odiegwu, Mike; Adeyemi, Kolade; Ihyongo, Fanen; Adenuga, David; Emmanuel, Uja; Alabelewe, AbdulGafar; Shittu, Sola; Asishana, Justina; Duku, Joel; Oota, Linus; Okezie, Augustine; Alao, Onimisi; Onogu, Sanni; Jimoh, Adekunle; Odufowokan, 'Dare; Adedeji, Toba; Ibrahim, Rasaq; Oladele, Bisi; Otabor, Osagie; Okungbowa, Aiwerie; Nsa, Gil; Anioke, Ogo; Duruihuoma, Damian; Njoku, Chris; Nwankwo, Sunny (12 February 2023). "Who wins 2023 presidential election?". The Nation. Retrieved 19 February 2023.

[16] Oladesu, Emmanuel; Alli, Yusuf; O’neil, Shola; Onu, Nwanosike; Odiegwu, Mike; Adeyemi, Kolade; Ihyongo, Fanen; Adenuga, David; Emmanuel, Uja; Alabelewe, AbdulGafar; Shittu, Sola; Asishana, Justina; Duku, Joel; Oota, Linus; Okezie, Augustine; Alao, Onimisi; Onogu, Sanni; Jimoh, Adekunle; Odufowokan, 'Dare; Adedeji, Toba; Ibrahim, Rasaq; Oladele, Bisi; Otabor, Osagie; Okungbowa, Aiwerie; Nsa, Gil; Anioke, Ogo; Duruihuoma, Damian; Njoku, Chris; Nwankwo, Sunny (19 February 2023). "WHO WINS 2023 PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION? | The Nation Newspaper". The Nation Newspaper. Retrieved 19 February 2023.

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v t e (2022 ←) 2023 Nigerian elections (→ 2024)
President	Abia Adamawa Akwa Ibom Anambra Bauchi Bayelsa Benue Borno Cross River Delta Ebonyi Edo Ekiti Enugu FCT Gombe Imo Jigawa Kaduna Kano Katsina Kebbi Kogi Kwara Lagos Nasarawa Niger Ogun Ondo Osun Oyo Plateau Rivers Sokoto Taraba Yobe Zamfara
Senate	Abia Adamawa Akwa Ibom Anambra Bauchi Bayelsa Benue Borno Cross River Delta Ebonyi Edo Ekiti Enugu FCT Gombe Imo Jigawa Kaduna Kano Katsina Kebbi Kogi Kwara Lagos Nasarawa Niger Ogun Ondo Osun Oyo Plateau Rivers Sokoto Taraba Yobe Zamfara
House of Representatives	Abia Adamawa Akwa Ibom Anambra Bauchi Bayelsa Benue Borno Cross River Delta Ebonyi Edo Ekiti Enugu FCT Gombe Imo Jigawa Kaduna Kano Katsina Kebbi Kogi Kwara Lagos Nasarawa Niger Ogun Ondo Osun Oyo Plateau Rivers Sokoto Taraba Yobe Zamfara
Governors	Abia Adamawa Akwa Ibom Bauchi Bayelsa Benue Borno Cross River Delta Ebonyi Enugu Gombe Imo Jigawa Kaduna Kano Katsina Kebbi Kogi Kwara Lagos Nasarawa Niger Ogun Oyo Plateau Rivers Sokoto Taraba Yobe Zamfara
Houses of Assembly	Abia Adamawa Akwa Ibom Anambra Bauchi Bayelsa Benue Borno Cross River Delta Ebonyi Edo Ekiti Enugu Gombe Imo Jigawa Kaduna Kano Katsina Kebbi Kogi Kwara Lagos Nasarawa Niger Ogun Ondo Osun Oyo Plateau Rivers Sokoto Taraba Yobe Zamfara
Local	Zamfara
Statewide	Abia Adamawa Akwa Ibom Anambra Bauchi Bayelsa Benue Borno Cross River Delta Ebonyi Edo Ekiti Enugu FCT Gombe Imo Jigawa Kaduna Kano Katsina Kebbi Kogi Kwara Lagos Nasarawa Niger Ogun Ondo Osun Oyo Plateau Rivers Sokoto Taraba Yobe Zamfara