Bay of Quinte (federal electoral district)

Coordinates: 44°04′44″N 77°17′42″W / 44.079°N 77.295°W / 44.079; -77.295
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Bay of Quinte
Ontario electoral district
Bay of Quinte in relation to other electoral districts in Southern Ontario
Federal electoral district
LegislatureHouse of Commons
MP
 
 
 
Ryan Williams
Conservative
District created2013
First contested2015
Last contested2021
District webpageprofile, map
Demographics
Population (2016)[1]109,735
Electors (2021)94,197
Area (km²)[2]1,621.34
Pop. density (per km²)67.7
Census division(s)Hastings, Prince Edward
Census subdivision(s)Belleville, Prince Edward, Quinte West

Bay of Quinte (French: Baie de Quinte) is a federal electoral district in central Ontario, Canada, centred on the Bay of Quinte.

Bay of Quinte was created by the 2012 federal electoral boundaries redistribution and was legally defined in the 2013 representation order. It came into effect upon the call of the 42nd Canadian federal election, scheduled for 19 October 2015.[3] It was created out of parts of the electoral districts of Prince Edward—Hastings (62%) and Northumberland—Quinte West (38%).[4]

Geography[edit]

The riding contains the municipalities of Prince Edward County, Quinte West and that part of Belleville south of Highway 401.

Demographics[edit]

According to the 2021 Canadian census[5]

Languages: 90.6% English, 2.3% French
Religions: 53.5% Christian (18.2% Catholic, 10.3% United Church, 6.7% Anglican, 1.6% Presbyterian, 1.6% Baptist, 1.3% Pentecostal, 13.8% Other), 43.5% None
Median income: $39,200 (2020)
Average income: $49,160 (2020)

Panethnic groups in Bay of Quinte (2011−2021)
Panethnic group 2021[6] 2016[7] 2011[8]
Pop. % Pop. % Pop. %
European[a] 101,070 88.85% 98,140 91.6% 99,690 93.16%
Indigenous 5,640 4.96% 4,830 4.51% 3,945 3.69%
South Asian 2,180 1.92% 870 0.81% 680 0.64%
African 1,445 1.27% 845 0.79% 835 0.78%
East Asian[b] 1,095 0.96% 930 0.87% 910 0.85%
Southeast Asian[c] 880 0.77% 630 0.59% 345 0.32%
Latin American 665 0.58% 385 0.36% 205 0.19%
Middle Eastern[d] 315 0.28% 205 0.19% 210 0.2%
Other/multiracial[e] 465 0.41% 310 0.29% 180 0.17%
Total responses 113,755 98.05% 107,140 97.64% 107,010 97.74%
Total population 116,016 100% 109,735 100% 109,488 100%
Notes: Totals greater than 100% due to multiple origin responses.
Demographics based on 2012 Canadian federal electoral redistribution riding boundaries.

Members of Parliament[edit]

This riding has elected the following members of Parliament:

Parliament Years Member Party
Bay of Quinte
Riding created from Northumberland—Quinte West
and Prince Edward—Hastings
42nd  2015–2019     Neil Ellis Liberal
43rd  2019–2021
44th  2021–present     Ryan Williams Conservative

Election results[edit]

Graph of election results in Bay of Quinte (minor parties that never got 2% of the vote or didn't run consistently are omitted)


2021 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % ±% Expenditures
Conservative Ryan Williams 25,479 41.3 +4.5 $93,825.48
Liberal Neil Ellis 22,542 36.5 -2.6 $99,915.72
New Democratic Stephanie Bell 9,284 15.0 -1.0 $10,138.56
People's Janine LeClerc 3,045 4.9 +2.9 $4,474.11
Green Erica Charlton 1,350 2.2 -3.9 $6,273.82
Total valid votes 61,700
Total rejected ballots 405
Turnout 62,105 64.95
Eligible voters 95,615
Conservative gain from Liberal Swing +5.6
Source: Elections Canada[9]
2021 federal election redistributed results[10]
Party Vote %
  Conservative 23,671 40.59
  Liberal 21,590 37.02
  New Democratic 8,897 15.25
  People's 2,878 4.93
  Green 1,286 2.20
2019 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % ±% Expenditures
Liberal Neil Ellis 24,099 39.16 -11.58 $96,721.36
Conservative Tim Durkin 22,650 36.80 +2.53 $55,922.84
New Democratic Stephanie Bell 9,851 16.01 +3.87 none listed
Green Danny Celovsky 3,740 6.08 +3.86 $592.37
People's Paul Bordonaro 1,207 1.96 none listed
Total valid votes/expense limit 61,547 99.25
Total rejected ballots 464 0.75 +0.38
Turnout 62,011 65.83 -2.30
Eligible voters 94,197
Liberal hold Swing -7.05
Source: Elections Canada[11][12]
2015 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % ±% Expenditures
Liberal Neil Ellis 29,281 50.74 +29.86 $118,473.86
Conservative Jodie Jenkins 19,781 34.27 −17.53 $109,092.53
New Democratic Terry Cassidy 7,001 12.13 −10.88 $21,205.50
Green Rachel Nelems 1,278 2.21 −1.56
Independent Trueman Tuck 372 0.64 $4,425.20
Total valid votes/expense limit 57,713 99.64   $221,051.99
Total rejected ballots 211 0.36
Turnout 57,924 68.13
Eligible voters 85,021
Liberal notional gain from Conservative Swing +23.69
Source: Elections Canada[13][14]
2011 federal election redistributed results[15]
Party Vote %
  Conservative 25,906 51.81
  New Democratic 11,508 23.01
  Liberal 10,441 20.88
  Green 1,886 3.77
  Others 265 0.53

Notes[edit]

  1. ^ Statistic includes all persons that did not make up part of a visible minority or an indigenous identity.
  2. ^ Statistic includes total responses of "Chinese", "Korean", and "Japanese" under visible minority section on census.
  3. ^ Statistic includes total responses of "Filipino" and "Southeast Asian" under visible minority section on census.
  4. ^ Statistic includes total responses of "West Asian" and "Arab" under visible minority section on census.
  5. ^ Statistic includes total responses of "Visible minority, n.i.e." and "Multiple visible minorities" under visible minority section on census.

References[edit]

  1. ^ Statistics Canada: 2017
  2. ^ Statistics Canada: 2017
  3. ^ Timeline for the Redistribution of Federal Electoral Districts
  4. ^ Final Report – Ontario
  5. ^ Government of Canada, Statistics Canada (February 9, 2022). "Profile table, Census Profile, 2021 Census of Population - Bay of Quinte [Federal electoral district (2013 Representation Order)], Ontario". www12.statcan.gc.ca. Retrieved April 6, 2023.
  6. ^ Government of Canada, Statistics Canada (October 26, 2022). "Census Profile, 2021 Census of Population". www12.statcan.gc.ca. Retrieved December 25, 2023.
  7. ^ Government of Canada, Statistics Canada (October 27, 2021). "Census Profile, 2016 Census". www12.statcan.gc.ca. Retrieved December 25, 2023.
  8. ^ Government of Canada, Statistics Canada (November 27, 2015). "NHS Profile". www12.statcan.gc.ca. Retrieved December 25, 2023.
  9. ^ "Official Voting Results". Elections Canada. Retrieved October 1, 2021.
  10. ^ "Transposition of Votes from the 44th General Election to the 2023 Representation Orders". Elections Canada. Retrieved April 9, 2024.
  11. ^ "List of confirmed candidates". Elections Canada. Retrieved October 3, 2019.
  12. ^ "Official Voting Results". Elections Canada. Retrieved May 5, 2021.
  13. ^ Elections Canada – Confirmed candidates for Bay of Quinte, 30 September 2015
  14. ^ Elections Canada – Preliminary Election Expenses Limits for Candidates Archived 2015-08-15 at the Wayback Machine
  15. ^ Pundits' Guide to Canadian Elections

44°04′44″N 77°17′42″W / 44.079°N 77.295°W / 44.079; -77.295